News
AI Could Make Alien Contact More Likely for SETI’s ‘Project Hail Mary’
“Project Hail Mary,” a science-fiction novel that’s just been turned into a big-budget, big-screen movie, tells the story of an unlikely astronaut who unexpectedly encounters an alien during a desperate mission to save their respective civilizations.
The astronaut (played by Ryan Gosling in the movie) and the alien have to figure out on the spot whether they’re friends or foes. They also have to come up with a translation system that can accommodate two completely different ways of communicating.
That all makes for a do-or-die space drama reminiscent of “Apollo 13” — but the day is fast approaching when advances in astronomy and artificial intelligence could take a lot of the drama out of alien contact.
Seth Shostak, senior astronomer for the SETI Institute, says he wouldn’t be at all surprised if our first encounter with aliens came in the form of AI-to-AI contact.
“My guess is that the aliens are going to be machines, because that’s what we’re doing, right?” he says in the latest episode of the Fiction Science podcast. “We’re just in the early days of building machines that can do things that humans have had to do in the past. I’m sure that 100 years from now, the most capable intelligence on this planet will not be some sort of soft and squishy biological thing. That’s going to be a machine. And so, if we hear the aliens, I suspect that it’s more than likely that they, too, will be machines.”
If you’re worried that talking about AI and the search for aliens will require delving deeply into spoilers, never fear: Artificial intelligence doesn’t really play a role in the “Project Hail Mary” movie. It’s mentioned only once in the Andy Weir novel on which the movie is based — merely to explain why the planners of the do-or-die mission opted not to use AI. (We do get into spoilers toward the end of this post, however, so consider yourselves warned.)
For more than 65 years, astronomers have been searching the skies for radio signals that might have been sent out by extraterrestrial civilizations. “The usual approach is to build a receiver that can monitor thousands — well, today, millions of different channels simultaneously,” Shostak says. “And you can just look at how that capability has improved over time. It turns out it follows what’s called Moore’s Law … which says that the speed of electronics more or less doubles every two years.”
It takes a lot of computing power to monitor millions of channels, and Shostak says he’s certain that AI will accelerate the search for extraterrestrial intelligence, better known as SETI.
There’s already evidence of that: Last November, the Breakthrough Listen Initiative reported that an AI system developed in partnership with NVIDIA could process real-time data from telescopes searching for fast radio bursts at a rate more than 600 times faster than the current data pipeline. The system improved detection accuracy by 7% and reduced false positives by nearly an order of magnitude.
“This technology doesn’t just make us faster at finding known types of signals — it enables us to discover completely unexpected signal morphologies,” Andrew Siemion, principal investigator for the Breakthrough Listen Initiative, said in a news release. “An advanced civilization might use burst-like communications, modulated signals or transmission schemes we haven’t even imagined. This AI system can learn to recognize patterns that a human might miss entirely.”
Several years ago, another team of astronomers used a machine language algorithm to identify potential alien signals that were overlooked by other data-processing systems. (But don’t get too excited: Follow-up observations didn’t confirm that the signals came from extraterrestrial civilizations. You would have heard if they did.)
AI tools could help astronomers overcome some of the obstacles facing the SETI quest. For example, one group of researchers recently reported that signals from alien civilizations could be scrambled by stormy space weather. Improved pattern-recognition software just might be able to pick out the signal hidden in the cosmic noise.
AI models could also come into play for interpreting alien messages once they’re found. But Shostak isn’t focusing so much on that challenge. “Even if we never understand what the aliens are saying, just the fact that we pick up the signal and can tell that it’s an artificial signal — in other words, made by some technology — that’s very interesting, because we’ve proved that they’re there,” Shostak says.
Understanding what the aliens are saying “would be interesting to know, but I would consider that a secondary benefit of finding their presence,” he says.
Seth Shostak is senior astronomer at the SETI Institute. (SETI Institute Photo)
Shostak compares the challenge of deciphering alien messages to the challenge that archaeologists faced when they unearthed Egyptian hieroglyphs. “The best way to decipher the hieroglyphics is to have lots of people working on the problem, so just make them known,” he says. “I think the same sort of logic applies here.”
Douglas Vakoch, the president of METI International, has spent a lot of time working on the message translation problem. You can tell that from his organization’s acronym, which stands for “Messaging Extraterrestrial Intelligence.” He says AI can play a supporting role in detecting and decoding alien messages, but not the starring role.
“We need to realize that when we humans try to find patterns hidden in radio static, we may start out with some cut-and-dried guidelines that are very similar to the clear rules used by AI. But often we fail to realize exactly how our rules fall short, because we don’t lay them out clearly,” Vakoch told me via email. “AI forces us to get clear about how we are attempting to solve problems, and simply learning from AI how it is attempting to solve a problem can make us say, ‘You’ve missed something critical. You need to do this instead.’ ”
In his view, discovering an alien message is only half the battle.
“An even greater challenge will be understanding what it means. And that’s where humans will continue to play a role, even as AI becomes more computationally sophisticated in the years to come,” Vakoch said. “Deciphering a message from extraterrestrials will be much more ambiguous. AI might help us detect patterns in alien messages that humans would miss, but we’ll still need people to figure out what the message means.”
How long will it take to make alien contact? Will we need to wait for a do-or-die mission to a faraway star system? More than 20 years ago, Shostak predicted that we’d find evidence of aliens by 2025 or so. And for more than 15 years, he’s been betting a cup of coffee on it.
Now Shostak is acknowledging that he might have to pay up. “Next time I see you, I’ll buy you a cup of coffee,” he says. “We haven’t found them yet. … Maybe it was just wishful thinking, but honestly, I think that it was more based on the known rate of improvement in the experiments to find the aliens.”
Maybe SETI astronomers just need more time to take advantage of Moore’s Law and AI. Maybe it’ll take another 20 years, or 200 years, to follow through on the promise of “Project Hail Mary” and connect with alien travelers. But in the meantime, I’ll take that cup of coffee.
Here come the spoilers
If you haven’t already read “Project Hail Mary,” it can be tricky to keep track of the movie’s scientific twists and turns. Some of those plot twists have interesting parallels to real-world science, and I can’t resist pointing them out.
“Project Hail Mary” is scheduled for theatrical release on March 20, and it’s already getting rave reviews. For more from Seth Shostak, check out Big Picture Science, the podcast he co-hosts; and look for his columns in Astronomy magazine.
My co-host for the Fiction Science podcast is Dominica Phetteplace, an award-winning writer who is a graduate of the Clarion West Writers Workshop and lives in San Francisco. To learn more about Phetteplace, visit DominicaPhetteplace.com.
This report was originally posted on Cosmic Log, the home base for the Fiction Science podcast. Stay tuned for future episodes of Fiction Science via Apple, Spotify, Player.fm, Pocket Casts and Podchaser. Fiction Science is included in FeedSpot’s 100 Best Sci-Fi Podcasts. If you like Fiction Science, please rate the podcast and subscribe to get alerts for future episodes.
News
Kyiv, Ukraine, Hit in Russian Missile Attack
Buildings rattled in the Ukrainian capital for hours early Sunday. Russia launched an Oreshnik intermediate-range ballistic missile for only the third time in the war.
News
SpaceX’s Next-Gen Starship Passes Its First Flight Test Despite Snags
SpaceX’s next-generation Starship V3 rocket got off to a glorious start for its first test flight, and although not all of its engines fired fully according to plan, SpaceX CEO Elon Musk said the mission “scored a goal for humanity.”
This was the 12th Starship launch, but the first one since SpaceX completed a thorough redesign of the rocket’s Super Heavy first-stage booster, the second stage (known as Ship), the Raptor rocket engines and the launch facilities at SpaceX’s Starbase in south Texas.
Super Heavy lit all 33 of its Raptor V3 engines at liftoff, and successfully sent Ship on its way over the Gulf of Mexico. But after stage separation, Super Heavy shut down its engines prematurely. As a result, the booster tumbled through the atmosphere to an uncontrolled but safe splashdown in the gulf. SpaceX had planned for a controlled splashdown but hadn’t planned to recover the booster, so it was no great loss.
Loading tweet…
Only five of the six Raptor engines on the second-stage Ship remained lit for the next phase of the test flight. “I wouldn’t call it a nominal orbital insertion but … it’s within bounds,” SpaceX commentator Dan Huot said.
During the coast phase of the mission, SpaceX had to pass up an opportunity to try relighting one of the engines in space. It was, however, able to follow through with the deployment of 20 satellite simulators, plus two “Dodger Dog” satellites that were modified to test new technologies for SpaceX’s Starlink V3 satellites.
One of the modified satellites captured video looking back at Ship as it drifted away, and then transmitted the video back to Earth via SpaceX’s Starlink network. Huot said the video monitoring procedure would come in handy for making in-space inspections of Ship’s heat shield during future flights. “That’s one we’ve been chasing for a while, so [it’s] really cool to see it,” he said.
Loading tweet…
About an hour after launch, Ship made a fiery atmospheric re-entry over the Indian Ocean. Onboard cameras showed the glow of superheated plasma surrounding the rocket stage, followed by occasional flashes of flame. In the moments just before splashdown, Ship fired up two of its Raptor engines — as opposed to the three that would typically be used for a landing — and flipped itself upright just in time for the end.
When the rocket hit the water, it burst into flames. Meanwhile, hundreds of SpaceX employees watching the webcast burst into applause. “USA, USA, USA!” they chanted.
“We guaranteed excitement at the beginning of the show, and I would say Starship delivered,” mission commentator Jake Berkowitz said.
Loading tweet…
SpaceX CEO Elon Musk was quick to congratulate his team for “an epic first Starship V3 launch and landing.”
“You scored a goal for humanity,” he wrote in a posting to X.
SpaceX’s team members emphasized that they didn’t expect everything to go right the first time. “This is a flight test,” Huot said. “We’re trying to intentionally find where our limits are.”
The day before, SpaceX had to postpone launch when a pin on the launch pad’s quick-disconnect arm failed to release itself properly. Engineers made changes to the ground-system software and hardware — including some welding at the pad — to fix the issue for today’s launch.
The 407-foot-tall Starship V3 is slightly bigger than the previous version of SpaceX’s super-rocket, but the biggest changes are on the inside. Here are a few highlights of the redesign:
- Streamlining the design of the methane-fueled Raptor V3 engines and increasing their liftoff thrust from 507,000 to 551,000 pounds per engine. Super Heavy is now capable of 18 million pounds of liftoff thrust, which makes it more than twice as powerful as the Apollo-era Saturn V or its modern-day successor, NASA’s Space Launch System.
- Putting an integrated hot-stage ring between the booster and the second stage, which is expected to streamline reusability.
- Replacing the previous four stabilization fins on Super Heavy with three larger, heavier grid fins, which should improve control and durability.
- Beefing up Starship’s satellite deployer, which is nicknamed the “Pez Dispenser.” The deployer is designed to deal out as many as 60 Starlink V3 satellites per mission.
- Installing shorter “chopsticks” on the launch tower, which is expected to make it easier to catch Starship’s stages when they fly themselves back to the launch pad.
- Fortifying the base of the pad and improving the flame-diverter system, which should cut down on the time and energy required for post-launch refurbishment.
In the near term, SpaceX is banking on the Starship system to facilitate the expansion of its Starlink satellite broadband network — which is currently the only profitable part of the SpaceX’s business, according to documents filed this week in preparation for the company’s initial public offering.
Putting Starship into operation is a key step in Musk’s plan to send a million solar-powered satellites into space to process data for artificial-intelligence applications. It’s also a key step for a wide array of other commercial space ventures that are hoping to take advantage of Starship’s larger payload capacity and cheaper access to space.
A modified version of Starship is due to serve as the lunar lander for NASA’s Artemis 4 mission, which is currently scheduled for as soon as 2028. NASA is already deep into preparations for an Artemis 3 mission that’s aimed at testing the Starship lander and/or Blue Origin’s Blue Moon lander in low Earth orbit next year.
NASA Administrator Jared Isaacman alluded to that mission today on SpaceX’s webcast. “We’re looking forward to meeting up next year in Earth orbit,” he said.
In the longer term, Musk envisions creating a fleet of Starships that could transport thousands of spacefarers to settlements on Mars. SpaceX hasn’t yet scheduled any Mars missions — but this week, crypto investor Chun Wang announced that he intends to be on Starship’s first Mars flyby, whenever it takes place. “It will light the fire. It will ignite the imagination, and it will build the momentum,” he said.
News
How will the Orange County chemical crisis be resolved? Here is what we know
• The temperature inside the failing tank has risen to 90 degrees, up from 77 a day earlier. The boiling point of the toxic chemical is 101 degrees Celsius.
• The main hope to avoid an explosion is to keep spraying water on the tank, keeping temperatures cooler.
• It’s possible an explosion can be avoided if the chemical reaction occurring inside the tank is slowed down.
The battle to keep a highly toxic chemical from exploding took a step backward Saturday.
The temperature in a critically failing tank filled with a highly toxic chemical and at risk of exploding in Orange County is rising, not falling, officials said.
By Saturday morning, the temperature in the pressurized tank at an aerospace firm in Garden Grove was 90 degrees, up from 77 degrees a day earlier. Temperatures are increasing about a degree per hour, Craig Covey, an Orange County Fire Authority division chief, said Saturday morning.
But with the chemical crisis in its third day, new details are offering more insight into how it could be resolved, though no one is sure when.
The question, experts say, is whether officials can somehow deal with the dangerous chemicals in a way that does not end in a blast or the type of spill that causes environmental degradation.
Chemical leak at GKN Aerospace
The Garden Grove facility neighbors an elementary school and residential neighborhood.
Trying to cool damaged tank
An increase in temperature raises the risk of an explosion.
The boiling point of the chemical inside the tank, methyl methacrylate, is 101 degrees Celsius. The temperature gauge on the tank detects temperatures only up to 100 degrees. Officials haven’t disclosed at what particular temperature would they think that an explosion is imminent.
It’s not necessarily the case that the tank would explode at 101 degrees, said Elias Picazo, assistant professor of chemistry at USC.
“It depends on the integrity of the tank, and the composition of the tank, and the pressure capacity of the tank,” Picazo said. “But, yes, above 100, the pressure starts to increase dramatically, because the liquid phase becomes gas phase, and gas takes up any space available. It’ll take up more volume and become highly pressurized.”
What does it mean that the temperature is rising?
The fact is that the temperature in the tank indicates that the liquid MMA molecules — monomers, essentially a bunch of single molecules — are reacting with one another to form polymers, forming a solid, according to Picazo. “The reaction is releasing heat. That’s going to initiate more reaction to happen, so it might even cascade.”
The big fear is producing what’s known as “thermal runaway reactions.”
Covey has said that if the temperature in the tank exceeds a certain threshold “we know the tank is going into thermal runaway, and we’re going to pull everybody out of the area, make sure it’s safe, and let the tank do what it’s going to do.”
The fact that some liquid in the tank is reacting to become a solid is probably what happened to gum up the valve leading into the tank. The primary solution to resolve this crisis would’ve been to pump a neutralizing agent into the problem tank, quenching it and making it no longer explosive.
But that valve is clogged up, and so there is no way to get the neutralizing agent inside the tank. Nor is there a way to slowly drain the tank of the MMA toxic chemical.
Keeping the tank as cool as possible could be a workable approach to prevent an explosion.
How are officials gaming out scenarios?
There remains the possibility that the tank will still explode or rupture in a massive leak that could send the chemical to foul up waterways and the ocean. Officials have marked a huge evacuation zone — anywhere from about 1 to 3 miles from the tank — affecting an estimated 40,000 residents covering portions of the cities of Garden Grove, Anaheim, Buena Park, Cypress, Stanton and Westminster.
It is clear that the spraying of water on the tank is helping.
Even though the temperature is rising inside the tank, not putting any cool water on it at all would have allowed the tank’s interior temperature to rise far more quickly, Picazo said.
So the main solution right now is for crews to do their best to keep the tank as cool as possible — and buy time.
How keeping the tank cool could avoid an explosion
Continuing to pour cool water on the tank could allow the liquid chemical inside to cure at a slower rate — becoming a solid at a slower speed — and reduce the buildup of pressure inside the tank, Covey said.
“Like an ice cube that freezes from the outside in — this stuff cures, it heats up and cures from the outside in. While it’s doing that process, it’s building that pressure,” Covey said.
The tank has some capacity to hold in some pressure. There is empty space between the surface level of the MMA chemical to the ceiling of the tank.
“We’re hoping that that space can absorb a slower cure rate and not over-pressure and blow up,” Covey said.
In other words, continuing to cool the tank could slow down the chemical reaction occurring inside in a way that avoids an explosion.
Picazo agreed.
“One of the best-case scenarios is to let the [MMA] monomers react, but you do it in a controlled way,” he said.
“Maybe if it’s slow enough, you can form solid within the tank and cause the monomers, the reactive monomers, to stay apart from one another.
“If they don’t come into contact, therefore they cannot react,” Picazo said. “You need contact for reactivity, and you can’t have contact if you have solid state.
At that point, “then you can start to think about other solutions of how to quench the unreacted starting material.”
Can the worse-case scenario be prevented?
Firefighters said they’re hopeful they can prevent an explosion.
“We’re optimistic,” Covey said. “We’re bringing people in from all over the country, talking to people all over the place, trying to come up with additional options.
“Letting this thing just fail and blow up is unacceptable to us.”
Why crews erroneously thought temperatures were cooling inside the tank
Officials on Friday had thought spraying water was actually cooling down the problem tank — and not merely reducing the speed at which the temperature was increasing.
On Friday evening, Picazo said drone thermometers indicated the tank was at 61 degrees, and the goal was to get the tank down to 50 degrees, which would be its “happy place.”
But as it turns out, the drone thermometers were detecting the temperatures only on the outside of the problem tank, not its inside.
Officials discovered the error of their assumptions when a crew of workers returned overnight to the problem tank, which has an estimated 7,000 gallons of MMA in it. Adjacent to the problem tank is a second tank, which has 15,000 gallons of chemicals in it, but is not at immediate risk of failure.
Nonetheless, officials wanted to inject a neutralizing agent into that second tank, so that if the primary failing tank explodes, it doesn’t cause an even greater blast by igniting the second tank. So there was an overnight operation of chemists and first responders sent in to try to get that done, which was attempted even though it put them “in harm’s way,” Covey said.
When they arrived, they were able to again manually read the internal temperature gauge of the failing tank. (That gauge isn’t visible unless someone is there to read it; it’s covered by the cooling sprays of water and cannot be seen from a distance, nor by putting a drone with a camera near it, Covey said.)
And that’s when the crew realized that the tank’s internal temperature was at 90 degrees, and that relying on drones to estimate the temperature from afar showed only the temperature of the outside of the tank, not the inside.
Staff writers Hailey Branson-Potts, Hannah Fry and Eric Licas contributed to this report.
-
Entertainment3 weeks agoBeyoncé is a sparkly skeleton on the Met Gala 2026 red carpet with Blue Ivy and Jay-Z
-
Trending3 weeks agoCoinbase didn’t just lay off 14% of its staff due to AI. It replaced managers with ‘player-coaches’ and turned its org chart upside down
-
News3 weeks agoAstronomers Witness the Awesome Power of a Black Hole’s “Dancing Jets”
-
Trending2 weeks ago2026 MLB Trade Deadline Rumors Tracker: SF Giants Shopping High-Priced Core
-
Trending2 weeks agoThe Mandalorian and Grogu star Pedro Pascal says his Star Wars character “knows” Baby Yoda “will outlive him,” so he’s “making sure” Grogu “can survive in a world without him”
-
Trending2 weeks ago‘The McBee Dynasty’ Season 3 Cast Photos, Trailer & Premiere Date Set At Bravo
-
Entertainment2 weeks agoHeidi Klum worried Anna Wintour wouldn’t approve her Met Gala 2026 prosthetics
-
News3 weeks agoMoon’s Formation In Many Ways Still Remains A Mystery
