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Data suggests Bitcoin price could rally above $110,000 in May.

Key Takeaways:
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Bitcoin is pushed by its skill to carry out properly in risk-on and risk-off environments, in accordance with Bitcoin Suisse.
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Bitcoin’s Sharpe ratio of 1.72, second solely to gold, underscores its maturity as an asset, providing superior risk-adjusted returns.
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A buyer-dominant market alerts robust institutional and retail curiosity that would drive a provide squeeze and break new highs in Could.
Bitcoin (BTC) worth breached the $100,000 mark for the primary time since January, fueling hypothesis of a brand new all-time excessive above $110,000 in Could. In keeping with Bitcoin Suisse, a crypto custody service supplier, BTC’s bullish momentum stems from its skill to thrive in risk-on and risk-off environments for the reason that US presidential elections.
Information from its “Trade Rollup” report highlights Bitcoin’s excessive Sharpe ratio of 1.72, a key monetary metric that measures risk-adjusted returns by dividing an asset’s common return (minus the risk-free price). A better Sharpe ratio displays superior risk-adjusted returns, and in 2025, Bitcoin’s strong rating, surpassed solely by gold, highlights its rising maturity as an asset.
Over the previous two quarters, BTC excelled as a dual-purpose funding. It acts as a macro hedge in risk-off climates, benefiting from geopolitical tensions and de-dollarization issues. In risk-on situations, it behaved as a high-conviction development asset, with over 86% of its provide in revenue. As illustrated within the chart, Bitcoin maintained a constructive internet return by numerous key phases since November 2024. Bitcoin Suisse head of analysis Dominic Weibei mentioned,
“On this setting, Bitcoin has emerged because the Swiss military knife asset. Whether or not equities rally or bonds crumble, BTC trades on its supply-demand fundamentals, delivering a win-win profile that conventional belongings merely cannot supply.”
Cointelegraph reported that Bitcoin is gearing up for the following leg of an “acceleration part,” in accordance with Constancy Digital Property’ Q2 2025 Alerts Report. Constancy analyst Zack Wainwright defined that Bitcoin’s historic tendency to enter explosive worth surges is characterised by “excessive volatility and excessive revenue.”
Related: Bitcoin eyes sub-$100K liquidity — Watch these BTC price levels next
Bitcoin spot patrons flip “dominant”
On Could 7, Bitcoin spot taker cumulative quantity delta (CVD) over 90 days turned purchaser dominant for the primary time since March 2024. The 90-day spot taker CVD, which measures the online distinction between market purchase and promote volumes, displays purchaser or vendor exercise over a protracted interval. This shift to “taker purchase dominant” aggressive shopping for stress, pushed by institutional curiosity and spot Bitcoin ETF inflows, i.e., over $4.5 billion spot inflows since April 1.
This structural change in demand and Bitcoin’s strong Sharpe ratio may enable BTC to capitalize on present market situations. As firms and establishments rush into Bitcoin, a provide squeeze might propel costs previous $110,000 in Could.
Related: How high can Bitcoin price go?
This text doesn’t comprise funding recommendation or suggestions. Each funding and buying and selling transfer includes danger, and readers ought to conduct their very own analysis when making a call.
Bettors on crypto prediction platform Polymarket have, in current months, developed an enviable repute for beating the bookies. So it got here as a shock on Thursday once they bought the end result of the papal conclave very mistaken certainly. Winner Robert Francis Prevost wasn’t among the many favorites, with bettors solely giving the US-born cardinal round a 1% probability of succeeding Pope Francis forward of the end result. Polymarket bettors, like conventional betting markets, gave Cardinal Pietro Parolin the very best odds, at 28%. With over $28 million of bets positioned on candidates aside from Prevost, the end result was a complete wipeout for a lot of bettors. The occasion throws into query the perceived heightened accuracy of betting markets like Poymarket over typical polls. Polymarket lets customers guess on the outcomes of every part from soccer fixtures to political elections. Not like conventional betting platforms, the place the home units the percentages primarily based on its greatest diligence, Polymarket odds are a real-time reflection of the bets positioned by customers. Merely put, the extra demand there’s for a sure end result, the upper the percentages and the costs paid for the bets are. In November, Polymarket gained mainstream notoriety when bettors gave Republican candidate Donald Trump considerably increased odds than most different sources to win the US presidency. “Polymarket costs appear to be wrapping up the views of good cash fairly nicely,” Koleman Stumpf, an economics professor at Wake Forest College in North Carolina, told CoinDesk on the time, noting that Polymarket bettors appeared to have a slight edge in predicting the election end result. A historic information analysis carried out by New York Metropolis-based information scientist Alex McCullough confirmed Polymarket beforehand predicted the end result of world occasions one month out with 90% accuracy. The explanation Polymarket bettors bought the papal conclave end result so mistaken is that the occasion is extraordinarily exhausting to foretell, Domer, one in all Polymarket’s prime pseudonymous bettors, said on X. “It is like strolling right into a retailer that does not talk with the skin world,” he stated. “Not even the members themselves would in all probability know handicap it.” Because it’s exhausting for bettors to seek out an edge with such an esoteric guess, many seemingly defaulted to following the opinions of conventional betting markets and the media, ensuing within the shut alignment of odds between Polymarket and different betting markets like Betfair. The rarity of papal conclaves can also have made issues tough. Pope Francis, the earlier pope, was appointed in 2013, years earlier than blockchain-based betting platforms like Polymarket existed. It is also doable that many Polymarket bettors seemingly had no prior expertise betting on the occasion. Political elections, the place Polymarket odds have lined up nearer to outcomes, are rather more frequent and broadly understood. In keeping with Domer, the actual edge in betting on the papal conclave will not be selecting the proper candidate however relatively betting towards these with too-high odds. He chalked up the excessive odds of heavy favorites Parolin, and Cardinal Luis Antonio Tagle, who Polymarket bettors gave a 20% probability of successful, to their reputation with the general public and the media. “The pricing for Parolin and Tagle have been means too excessive, and excessive for not superb causes,” he stated. Learn extra: Polymarket is 90% Accurate in Predicting World Events: Research Microsoft staff aren’t allowed to make use of DeepSeek on account of knowledge safety and propaganda considerations, Microsoft vice chairman and president Brad Smith mentioned in a Senate hearing right this moment. “At Microsoft we don’t permit our staff to make use of the DeepSeek app,” Smith mentioned, referring to DeepSeek’s software service (which is obtainable on each desktop and cell). Smith mentioned Microsoft hasn’t put DeepSeek in its app retailer over these considerations, both. Though lots of organizations and even countries have imposed restrictions on DeepSeek, that is the primary time Microsoft has gone public about such a ban. Smith mentioned the restriction stems from the danger that knowledge will likely be saved in China and that DeepSeek’s solutions could possibly be influenced by “Chinese language propaganda.” DeepSeek’s privateness coverage states it shops person knowledge on Chinese language servers. Such knowledge is topic to Chinese language legislation, which mandates cooperation with the nation’s intelligence businesses. DeepSeek additionally heavily censors matters thought of delicate by the Chinese language authorities. Regardless of Smith’s essential feedback about DeepSeek, Microsoft offered up DeepSeek’s R1 mannequin on its Azure cloud service shortly after it went viral earlier this 12 months. Techcrunch occasion
Berkeley, CA However that’s a bit totally different from providing DeepSeek’s chatbot app itself. Since DeepSeek is open supply, anyone can obtain the mannequin, retailer it on their very own servers, and supply it to their purchasers with out sending the information again to China. That, nevertheless, doesn’t take away different dangers just like the mannequin spreading propaganda or producing insecure code. Throughout the Senate listening to, Smith mentioned that Microsoft had managed to go inside DeepSeek’s AI mannequin and “change” it to take away “dangerous unintended effects.” Microsoft didn’t elaborate on precisely what it did to DeepSeek’s mannequin, referring TechCrunch to Smith’s remarks. In its preliminary launch of DeepSeek on Azure, Microsoft wrote that DeepSeek underwent “rigorous purple teaming and security evaluations” earlier than it was placed on Azure. Whereas we are able to’t assist stating that DeepSeek’s app can be a direct competitor to Microsoft’s personal Copilot web search chat app, Microsoft doesn’t ban all such chat opponents from its Home windows app retailer. Perplexity is obtainable within the Home windows app retailer, for example. Though any apps by Microsoft’s archrival Google (together with the Chrome browser and Google’s chatbot Gemini) didn’t floor in our webstore search. Congress has questions about 23andMe bankruptcy You and Your Kids Can Develop Future-Proof Tech Skills for Only $56 Margot Robbie flaunts fit physique during Australian beach outing Anne Hathaway, Michelle Williams Reunite 20 Years Later Altadena suffered a ‘catastrophic failure.’ Did unincorporated status hurt fire response? Christina Ricci on How She Learned to Care Less About Her Looks (Exclusive) Can You Pass the NYC Test? 11 Signs You’re the Real Deal Saying ‘Thank You’ to ChatGPT Costs Millions in ElectricityCrypto News
Bettors Lose Millions Predicting the New Pope as Polymarket Edge Fizzles Out
What went mistaken?
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Microsoft employees are banned from using DeepSeek app, president says
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June 5