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Voters are skeptical of Biden’s leadership and prefer Trump, according to Times/Siena poll

In a recent poll conducted by The New York Times and Siena College, concerning findings reveal that President Biden is grappling with doubt about his leadership within his own party and facing widespread dissatisfaction with the nation’s current direction. This has led to a situation where he is falling behind Donald J. Trump just as the general election contest is about to commence.

Despite there being eight months left until the November election, the poll results show that Mr. Biden’s support of 43 percent trails behind Mr. Trump’s 48 percent among registered voters nationally. Only a quarter of voters believe the country is moving in the right direction, with more than double the number of voters feeling that Mr. Biden’s policies have personally harmed them compared to those who believe his policies have benefited them. Additionally, a majority of voters perceive the economy to be in poor condition, and a significant 47 percent strongly disapprove of Mr. Biden’s job performance, marking his highest disapproval rate in Times/Siena polls during his presidency.

Furthermore, the poll highlights concerning signs of weakness within the Democratic coalition, particularly among key demographics such as women, Black, and Latino voters. While Mr. Biden navigated through early nominating states with minimal opposition, the poll indicates a deep divide within the Democratic Party regarding his potential candidacy for 2024, especially among voters under 45 years old. In contrast, Mr. Trump has successfully unified his party, even amidst an ongoing primary contest.

Among the notable findings is Mr. Trump’s ability to consolidate the Republican base, evident in the fact that he is winning 97 percent of voters who supported him in the previous election, with minimal defection to Mr. Biden. In comparison, Mr. Biden is winning only 83 percent of his 2020 voters, while 10 percent now back Mr. Trump. This disparity underscores the challenge Mr. Biden faces in rallying support within his own party and retaining voter loyalty.

Additionally, the survey highlights a lack of enthusiasm among Democratic primary voters for Mr. Biden, with only 23 percent expressing enthusiasm compared to a higher share of Republicans excited about Mr. Trump. Furthermore, the poll indicates that Mr. Trump’s favorability rating is marginally better than Mr. Biden’s, with both candidates being unpopular choices among voters, reflecting the overall discontent with the current political landscape.

Moreover, the survey delves into the contrasting views of voters regarding the candidates’ policies, with a notable disparity in perceptions of personal benefit between Mr. Trump and Mr. Biden’s policies. Despite these challenges, the Biden campaign remains optimistic that as the election draws closer, more voters will revert to traditional partisan patterns and shift their support back to the Democratic candidate.

In conclusion, the poll results present a complex and challenging landscape for both candidates as they navigate their campaigns in the lead-up to the general election. While Mr. Biden faces skepticism and doubts about his leadership, Mr. Trump has managed to maintain strong support within his party and make inroads into traditional Democratic constituencies. As the election season unfolds, these findings underscore the importance of addressing voter concerns and solidifying support across key demographics to secure a favorable outcome in November.

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Further Support for Gravitational Wave Background in the Universe

The discovery of the gravitational wave background in 2016 marked a significant milestone in our understanding of the Universe. This groundbreaking discovery was further validated by the release of a second data set from the European Pulsar Timing Array, along with the addition of data from the Indian Pulsar Timing Array. These complementary studies have provided more evidence for the existence of the gravitational wave background, shedding light on the cosmic phenomena that shape our universe.

Gravitational waves are ripples in spacetime that are generated by violent processes such as merging black holes and colliding neutron stars. Predicted by Einstein in 1916 as part of his General Theory of Relativity, these waves have the ability to travel through space, largely unimpeded by any obstacles in their path. The first detection of gravitational waves in 2015 by the Laser Interferometer Gravitational-Wave Observatory (LIGO) confirmed their existence, originating from a gravitational merger between two black holes located 1.3 billion light years away.

The Laser Interferometer Gravitational-Wave Observatory is made up of two detectors, this one in Livingston, La., and one near Hanford, Wash. The detectors use giant arms in the shape of an “L” to measure tiny ripples in the fabric of the universe. Credit: Caltech/MIT/LIGO Lab

The recent confirmation of the gravitational wave background by the European and Indian Pulsar Timing Arrays indicates that we are detecting a combined signal from the mergers of supermassive black holes. This random distribution of gravity waves that permeates the Universe offers a new avenue for studying the cosmos, akin to the Cosmic Background Radiation. The collaborative efforts of various observatories and research institutions have enabled us to delve deeper into the mysteries of the Universe.

The full-sky image of the temperature fluctuations (shown as color differences) in the cosmic microwave background, made from nine years of WMAP observations. These are the seeds of galaxies, from a time when the universe was under 400,000 years old. Credit: NASA/WMAP

Utilizing pulsar timing arrays as galaxy-sized detectors, researchers have been able to monitor and analyze the pulse arrival times of galactic pulsars on Earth. By detecting subtle patterns in these signals, they can uncover the presence of the gravitational wave background. The latest study led by J. Antoniadis from the Institute of Astrophysics in Greece delves into the implications of the low-frequency signals observed in the recent data releases from various pulsar timing array systems.

The accumulation of data from multiple sources has provided undeniable evidence for the existence of the gravitational wave background. With ongoing Pulsar Timing Array projects, the signals of the low-frequency gravity waves will become more distinct, offering a wealth of opportunities to explore the Universe in this novel way. The focus now shifts towards interpreting these signals to unlock the secrets of the cosmos.

Source : The second data release from the European Pulsar Timing Array: IV. Implications for massive black holes, dark matter and the early Universe

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