This roadtrip has loomed large since last year, when the schedule first came out. Regardless of how the standings would look, we knew a nine-game slate against the Yankees, Astros and Brewers would be brutal. A year and change later, it’s still scary, but the silver lining of the 50th Flop is that it’s deadened much of the terror. I won’t speak for everyone, but this weekend I personally released my remaining hope (and subsequent frustrations) like a small coterie of bedraggled, mostly flightless pigeons. As a friend pointed out yesterday, going 3-6 on this trip would feel like a big win. We’ve written plenty on this site about the power and beauty of holding hope and expectations, but at this point, with what this team has shown, it’s freeing to look at each remaining game as simply a day with baseball.
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How to watch Las Vegas Raiders vs. Arizona Cardinals on August 13, 2026 | Preseason Week 1
Raiders Pregame Live on FOX5 (Las Vegas)
Before kickoff, watch coverage on the team’s current matchup with last-minute news, transactions and analysis of the Silver and Black and their opponent.
Pregame Radio Broadcast
Raiders gameday broadcasts on Raider Nation Radio 920AM include the popular “Raiders Opening Drive” pregame show, beginning two hours prior to the game.
Postgame Coverage
Following the postgame wrap-up, coverage will continue on Raider Nation Radio 920AM with a 90-minute local postgame show, “Raiders Extra Point.”
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Series Preview: Seattle Mariners at New York Yankees
At a Glance
Game |
Time |
Mariners Starter |
Yankees Starter |
Mariners Win% |
Yankees Win% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Game 1 | Tuesday, August 11 | 4:05 pm | RHP Bryan Woo | LHP Ryan Weathers | 49.4% | 50.6% |
| Game 2 | Wednesday, August 12 | 4:05 pm | RHP Bryce Miller | RHP Will Warren | 46.9% | 53.1% |
| Game 3 | Thursday, August 13 | 10:35 am | RHP Logan Gilbert | LHP Max Fried | 43.4% | 56.6% |
Team Overview
Overview |
Mariners |
Yankees |
Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Batting (wRC+) | 99 (9th in AL) | 102 (7th in AL) | Yankees |
| Fielding (FRV) | -33 (15th) | 13 (3rd) | Yankees |
| Starting Pitching (FIP-) | 94 (5th) | 83 (1st) | Yankees |
| Bullpen (FIP-) | 95 (5th) | 92 (1st) | Yankees |
I don’t know, dude. They’re the Yankees, what more do you want me to say? They’ve won a lot of baseball games. Not as many as they have in the past, and definitely not as many as the Rays, which has to annoy them, but mostly is just messing up the Wild Card race.
Yankees Lineup
Player |
Position |
Bats |
PA |
K% |
BB% |
ISO |
wRC+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trent Grisham | CF | L | 390 | 16.9% | 12.3% | 0.178 | 98 |
| Ben Rice | DH | L | 483 | 25.1% | 12.0% | 0.288 | 148 |
| Heliot Ramos | LF | R | 327 | 27.2% | 5.5% | 0.157 | 97 |
| Luis García Jr. | 1B | L | 395 | 15.7% | 4.6% | 0.271 | 132 |
| Jazz Chisholm Jr. | 2B | L | 431 | 31.1% | 10.0% | 0.180 | 92 |
| Spencer Jones | RF | L | 133 | 35.3% | 11.3% | 0.178 | 94 |
| George Lombard Jr. (MiLB) | SS | R | 358 | 21.2% | 16.8% | 0.215 | 140 |
| Ryan McMahon | 3B | L | 283 | 30.4% | 7.8% | 0.160 | 84 |
| Austin Wells | C | L | 268 | 26.5% | 11.2% | 0.124 | 63 |
I look forward to the 2044 court case, when Aaron Judge sues Ben Rice for siphoning his health this season. With Judge, Cody Bellinger, and Giancarlo Stanton all shelved with various maladies, the Yankees focused on bringing in some potent bats at the trade deadline. They added Luis García Jr. and Heliot Ramos and called up their top prospect George Lombard Jr. García is in the midst of a huge power breakout this year and Lombard should be the shortstop of the future after Anthony Volpe flamed out.
Game 1 Pitching Matchup
Pitcher |
IP |
K% |
BB% |
HR/FB% |
GB% |
ERA |
FIP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Weathers | 121 | 26.2% | 6.8% | 15.7% | 47.3% | 3.79 | 3.65 |
| Bryan Woo | 127.1 | 24.3% | 5.2% | 8.6% | 37.6% | 4.31 | 3.20 |
LHP Ryan Weathers
Pitch |
Usage vRHB |
Usage vLHB |
Velocity |
Stuff+ |
Whiff+ |
BIP+ |
xwOBA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Four-seam | 25.1% | 19.4% | 95.8 | 99 | 98 | 85 | 0.408 |
| Sinker | 16.7% | 26.2% | 94.1 | 94 | 63 | 83 | 0.380 |
| Changeup | 30.0% | 6.5% | 85.7 | 102 | 114 | 88 | 0.250 |
| Slider | 9.2% | 21.0% | 87.0 | 110 | 113 | 87 | 0.251 |
| Sweeper | 18.9% | 26.9% | 81.2 | 110 | 113 | 103 | 0.294 |
From a previous series preview:
The new man in the starting rotation, Ryan Weathers is a product of the Marlins pitching development pipeline. He’s struggled with a bunch of different injuries over the last few years but none of them have required surgery. His raw stuff leveled up during spring training last year, adding a tick of velocity to his entire repertoire and adding a ton of movement to his changeup and sweeper. We didn’t get to see that revamped arsenal in action for very long before a lat strain derailed his season. His raw stuff was even more impressive this spring; his fastball was regularly touching 99 mph, which would make him one of the hardest throwing left-handed pitchers in all of baseball. His two secondary pitches are fantastic at generating whiffs and he’s confident enough with his changeup to use it against both righties and lefties. There’s a lot of unfulfilled promise with Weathers — he’s yet to prove that he can stay healthy and that all this raw stuff can produce outs regularly — but he’ll get an opportunity to prove it all with the Yankees this year.
Weathers has had a bit of an up-and-down season for the Yankees, but he’s stayed healthy and has posted back-to-back scoreless outings. In his first start of the season way back in April, he held the Mariners to just a single run in 4.1 innings, allowing four hits and two walks while striking out seven.
Game 2 Pitching Matchup
Pitcher |
IP |
K% |
BB% |
HR/FB% |
GB% |
ERA |
FIP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Warren | 114 | 23.0% | 7.5% | 12.7% | 43.3% | 4.18 | 3.85 |
| Bryce Miller | 79 | 25.8% | 4.9% | 13.1% | 37.8% | 3.08 | 3.83 |
RHP Will Warren
Pitch |
Usage vRHB |
Usage vLHB |
Velocity |
Stuff+ |
Whiff+ |
BIP+ |
xwOBA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Four-seam | 35.3% | 38.7% | 93.7 | 110 | 96 | 96 | 0.298 |
| Sinker | 36.7% | 18.6% | 93.3 | 103 | 137 | 104 | 0.360 |
| Changeup | 0.9% | 20.4% | 87.0 | 97 | 99 | 123 | 0.259 |
| Curveball | 1.7% | 7.4% | 81.3 | 106 | |||
| Sweeper | 25.5% | 14.9% | 84.1 | 97 | 63 | 82 | 0.399 |
Thanks to the injury to Gerrit Cole last spring, Will Warren earned a spot in the Yankees rotation out of the gate last year and posted a solid first full season in the big leagues. His 4.44 ERA was a bit higher than his 4.07 FIP, but his peripherals gave him a solid foundation to build off of. This year, he’s taken a small step forward. His ERA and FIP are still a little out of sync, but he’s cut his walk rate by nearly two points while maintaining his excellent strikeout rate. His low arm slot gives his pitches plenty of horizontal movement and his four-seam adds a generous amount of ride for his arm angle. He’s got a pretty good sweeper to pair with his fastball, but it can get hit around a bit, especially by left-handed batters.
Game 3 Pitching Matchup
Pitcher |
IP |
K% |
BB% |
HR/FB% |
GB% |
ERA |
FIP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Fried | 81.1 | 24.0% | 8.0% | 1.4% | 48.5% | 2.88 | 2.40 |
| Logan Gilbert | 139.1 | 26.4% | 5.8% | 11.9% | 37.7% | 3.42 | 3.57 |
LHP Max Fried
Pitch |
Usage vRHB |
Usage vLHB |
Velocity |
Stuff+ |
Whiff+ |
BIP+ |
xwOBA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Four-seam | 18.8% | 17.8% | 95.0 | 102 | 102 | 112 | 0.259 |
| Sinker | 14.1% | 45.1% | 93.2 | 108 | 126 | 121 | 0.268 |
| Cutter | 28.1% | 7.0% | 91.9 | 101 | 121 | 120 | 0.226 |
| Changeup | 16.2% | 0.7% | 85.6 | 102 | 94 | 78 | 0.241 |
| Curveball | 14.9% | 7.3% | 73.9 | 118 | 87 | 125 | 0.218 |
| Slider | 1.1% | 2.8% | 84.4 | ||||
| Sweeper | 6.9% | 19.2% | 80.1 | 110 | 78 | 139 | 0.178 |
From a previous series preview:
After signing a massive eight-year free agent deal with the Yankees in December 2024, Max Fried posted one of the best seasons of his career in New York. His velocity was up two ticks and he rejiggered his pitch mix to emphasize his cutter against right-handed batters. With two fantastic breaking balls, a solid changeup, and three different fastball looks, he’s got a weapon for any situation. If he needs a swing and miss, he’ll turn to one of the best curveballs in baseball. If he needs a groundball out, he’ll go to his sinker or changeup. That deep repertoire paired with excellent command makes him one of the toughest pitchers to face in the AL.
A bone bruise on his throwing elbow interrupted Max Fried’s season in May. He missed a month and a half of the season but recently returned from the IL at the end of July. He’s leaned pretty heavily on his cutter this year and it’s been one of the most effective pitches in the majors. Back in April, he held the Mariners scoreless across seven innings, allowing just three hits while striking out six.
AL West Standings
Team |
W-L |
W% |
Games Behind |
Run Diff |
Recent Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Astros | 61-59 | 0.508 | — | -25 | L-W-L-L-W |
| Rangers | 60-59 | 0.504 | 0.5 | -33 | W-W-W-L-W |
| Mariners | 56-63 | 0.471 | 4.5 | -19 | W-L-L-L-L |
| Athletics | 47-72 | 0.395 | 13.5 | -168 | L-L-W-W-L |
| Angels | 45-74 | 0.378 | 15.5 | -94 | W-W-L-L-L |
AL Wild Card Standings
Team |
W-L |
W% |
Games Behind |
Run Diff |
Recent Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yankees | 66-52 | 0.559 | +7.0 | +82 | W-L-W-W-L |
| Red Sox | 64-54 | 0.542 | +4.5 | +83 | W-W-L-L-L |
| Rangers | 60-59 | 0.504 | — | -30 | W-W-W-L-W |
| Tigers | 58-60 | 0.492 | 1.5 | +87 | L-W-L-W-W |
| Twins | 59-61 | 0.492 | 1.5 | -31 | W-W-L-L-W |
| Guardians | 58-61 | 0.487 | 2.0 | -27 | L-L-W-L-L |
Don’t look at this. That’s not healthy. Maybe leave this alone for a little bit. We can check back before they go to Houston, maybe.
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Star Wars Zero Company: A New Hope for Turn-Based Tactics
Summary
- Star Wars Zero Company arrives August 27, 2026 on XBOX Series X|S.
- A turn-based tactics game with RPG storytelling, it’s the debut from Bit Reactor, a new studio lead by Firaxis XCOM veterans.
- Polished, charming and fun, it’s a gift to fans of tactics games and Star Wars alike.
When I spoke with the Creative Director and Lead Designer of Star Wars Zero Company earlier this summer, I left extremely excited about the promise of a turn-based tactics game set amid the Clone Wars, made by seasoned hands behind some of the genre’s best.
Now that I’ve played 15 hours of a preview build over the course of a week, I’m thrilled to report that it absolutely lives up to that immense promise. Star Wars Zero Company is the perfect fusion of genre, developer, and intellectual property into something special that bodes well for the future of both tactics and Star Wars games.

Ultimate Team
You play Hawks, a former Republic officer who now leads the eponymous Zero Company of mercenaries, beginning as many great Star Wars stories do: suffocating in debt to the Hutt crime syndicate. Soon, a displaced noble and a Republic Intelligence agent approach them about investigating a dangerous cult, the Coil, spreading in the outer reaches of the galaxy alongside a mysterious and terrifying plague. It’s a classic, morally clear premise to get you right into the action of fighting smugglers, cultists, and droids in gripping, turn-based tactical battles.
As is so often the case in Star Wars, what really elevates the proceedings is the scrappy, found family of outsiders at your side. Of course, one unfortunate Rodian doesn’t survive the tutorial mission to reinforce how permadeath works (going down in combat gives a wound, and accumulating 3 wounds without resting is end of the line). That leaves you with a starting squad of discharged clone trooper Trick and ex-convict/boxer, Kabb Uppercut (a truly classic Star Wars name, and also my Hawks’ best friend according to the bond system, which rewards tracks and rewards characters that do a lot together). Soon you’re joined by Jae Mordant, the aforementioned noble whose mining citadel was stolen from her by Fathom, leader of the Coil.

But it’s not long until you’re growing that squad yourself. Early on, I also recruited two different snipers from the procedurally generated pool of potential teammates available for hire: Yaan Nia, a human rebel firebrand that I took because she looks kind of like Kleya from “Andor,” and Kos Niemz, a steely Weequay mercenary that I took because she looks kind of like a California Raisin. I fell in love with both of them almost immediately – procedurally generated characters, pinging off one another in emergent, systematized relationships, not to mention the looming threat of death, is a proven formula in countless games from The Sims to XCOM to RimWorld. As you might expect, Star Wars is an absolutely perfect setting for it, overflowing with iconic species and archetypes to mix and match like action figures in your own sandbox. This will be great fodder for imaginative streamers, like XCOM was before it.
In addition to fully customizing the appearance and specialization of Hawks at the start, you can also respec any of the above characters at any time. The only characters you can’t change are those you can recruit with unique specializations (so far, a Jedi Padawan and a Mandalorian Bounty Hunter). For the generated characters, you can even change their appearance and personality whenever you want. You can also build characters from scratch from the start menu, and enable or disable them for recruitment. It really is one of the most robust toolkits I’ve ever seen for customizing your own adventuring crew of ‘Star Wars guys’ this side of a tabletop role-playing game.
My Hawks started as a Scoundrel, but Kabb also had that class, so instead I soon switched her to a quick-firing Gunslinger, in order to take advantage of a weapon mod I’d found that applied accumulating burn status on every attack. I could just as easily imagine more RP-minded players using these customization systems to make narrative-driven modifications to their crew, like new scars and a change of role after a near-death experience. Zero Company empowers players both strategically and aesthetically to freely experiment with constructing exactly the team of operators that they want, while reserving the serious friction for where it belongs: the tactical battles.

Blorbo Chess
Combat will, in broad strokes, feel right at home to turn-based tactics veterans. Each of your characters has 3 action points per round, to be spent on moving, attacking, or using items and abilities. You alternate between taking all of your actions and the enemies taking theirs as you fight through various docks, landing pads, and other exotic locales across the galaxy far, far away. Objectives are typically divided between standing and fighting until you’ve defeated everyone, or achieving a set task (such as rescuing a hostage or holding a spot for several turns while you steal something) and then moving to an extraction zone while more enemies pour in.
Your squad’s most powerful abilities require a shared resource, Advantage, instead of action points, which accumulates up to a max of 10 when any of your team successfully deals damage to the enemy. This element of tempo leads to big, dramatic swing turns where you turn the tide of battle with a desperate, inventive, heroic combination of moves from your team, and is a perfect example of how the spirit of Star Wars infuses the design from top to bottom.

Lead Designer James Brawley told me in June about how he sees tactics games as a way to generate countless unique puzzles from the combinations of enemies, environments, and your abilities. It feels great to go from panicking about the seemingly impossible back foot the enemy has me on, through assessing my options and eking out another victory, round by round. At the developers’ recommendation as a genre veteran, I played on Hard (third highest out of four difficulties) and found it very nicely challenging, nearly always feeling like I’m scraping by and taking a wound or two, though not yet losing anyone permanently. There are well-balanced options to apply more or less challenge to suit your taste, and the cutely named Beskar mode is this game’s equivalent for XCOM’s Ironman, with no reloading previous saves.
I’ve only just scratched the surface of how much variety there is to explore in the combat and team composition. One of the bigger eye-opening moments of my playthrough was when I finally got an astromech, which has no basic attack, but carries three different utility items – all varieties of grenade, in this case – with two uses each (as opposed to one slot and one use for everyone else so far). Using them got me to start thinking more laterally about how I used grenades with other characters as well, such as using the concussive grenade to knock people off the map entirely. Brawley had mentioned that he liked being able to field a squad entirely of astromechs, in part as a sort of homage to his childhood interest of running all white mages in Final Fantasy. I look forward to exploring this wide range of options that open up as the game proceeds.

Home Is Where the Holotable Is
Between missions you retire to The Den, your cozy base of operations on a dramatic former mining-turned-trading outpost called the Ring of Kafrene (first featured in the beginning of “Rogue One,” where Cassian Andor’s contact confirms the existence of the Death Star and sets the plot in motion). Here you run around in third person to talk with your crew, manage your resources and team, and select your next mission at the holotable.
In addition to choosing your next mission, the holotable also has a strategic map of your influence throughout different sectors of the galaxy, unlocking various rewards as you do things in them. Operations are little text-based storylets that you select from the holotable between field missions, usually with a choice to determine the outcome, sometimes requiring you to send operators out with associated risks. These sometimes advance the main story or side-quests as part of narrative chains leading to missions, but are often just another way to get the credits, intel, and gear that you need to operate. For certain, particularly charged moral choices, everyone in your squad will have an opinion, with the UI clearly showing how each option will affect Hawks’ bond level with every other character. All these systems satisfyingly interlock to give you lots of little choices that dynamically feed back on one another – it gives off that classic, Sid Meier sense of a game being “a series of interesting decisions.”
Besides strategic management of your personnel and equipment, the Den also serves as a great narrative interlude to your harrowing battles, learning more about the members of your squad as well as other, non-combatant members of the team, like your wry android doctor. Dropout star Vic Michaelis stands out in particular as Runa Blask, a Togruta (like Ahsoka) former Separatist partisan finance expert who’s become Hawks’ main advisor. She’s extremely smart, a little mean, and will not hesitate to let you know how much she hates the Republic. I really wish she’d pick up a blaster and join us in the field.

Go See a Star War
Ask me several years ago, and I would have easily told you that I’m more of a Trek guy, but the one-two punch of “Andor” and now Star Wars Zero Company has seriously shifted that center of gravity. Much like that exceptional TV series, Zero Company puts Star Wars in a slightly different genre context than I’m used to, done with such skill and care that it makes me appreciate with fresh eyes what’s always been great about the franchise, like found families, cute little aliens, and the tinny voices of hapless, overconfident B-Series battle droids being immediately owned (they’re fodder enemies that go down if you breathe on them, and it never stopped being funny).
It’s also always great to see developers whose work I’ve loved spread their wings at a new studio. Even at the preview stage, Star Wars Zero Company is a fantastic first outing for Bit Reactor, and beyond looking forward to playing more of it, I’m also already excited about whatever they decide to do next.
I am eager to get back to the adventures of my Blorbos soon when Star Wars Zero Company launches on XBOX Series X|S on August 27, 2026.
STAR WARS Zero Company™ Deluxe Edition
Electronic Arts
$69.99
$62.99
Pre-order* STAR WARS Zero Company™ to outfit your droids with the Crystalline Astromech Pack Preorder Bonus, which includes the R3 droid and translucent “crystalline” astromech heads for the R4, R5 droid variants, as well as Star Wars Zero Company’s™ exclusive BR-1 droid.
Unlock unique cosmetic items inspired by the Clone Wars™ era with Star Wars Zero Company™ Deluxe Edition.
The “Grand Army of the Republic” Cosmetic Pack
• “Republic Officer” Uniform
• “100th Clone Company” Armor Set
• “ARC Trooper” Armor Set
The “Shadow Collective” Cosmetic Pack
• “Pyke” Helmet Cosmetic
• Five cosmetic tattoos
– “Pyke Syndicate”
– “Hutt Cartel”
– “Death Watch”
– “Black Sun Syndicate”
– “Crimson Dawn”
Five Weapon Set Themes
• “100th Clone Company”
• “Kafrene Informant”
• “Black Sun Syndicate Enforcer”
• “Bespin Security”
• “Separatist Warrior”
Command an elite squad through a gritty and authentic story in Star Wars Zero Company™, a single-player turn-based tactics game set in the twilight of the Clone Wars™.
Lead the Clone Wars’ Most Cunning Operatives
Command the galaxy’s finest in tactical operations, investigations and other heart-pounding missions through a cinematic original story.
Choose Your Path to Victory
Strategize and adapt to make every move count. The outcomes of your decisions make each playthrough different.
Engage in Tactical Star Wars Combat
Deploy a team of operatives ranging from scoundrels to astromechs, or even a Jedi, choosing from an arsenal of abilities to defeat your foes.
Forge Deep Bonds with your Squad
Improve your squad’s skills on missions, as they learn to work together and unlock new combat synergies.
Personalize Your Fight
Customize Hawks’ combat specialization and appearance, then fill your team with original and custom-made Star Wars characters, tailoring their appearances, loadouts, and abilities.
*Conditions and restrictions apply. See https://www.ea.com/games/starwars/zero-company/disclaimers for details.
Lucasfilm, STAR WARS and related properties are trademarks and/or copyrights, in the United States and other countries, of Lucasfilm Ltd. and/or its affiliates. © & TM 2026 Lucasfilm Ltd. All rights reserved.
STAR WARS Zero Company™
Electronic Arts
$59.99
$53.99
Pre-order* STAR WARS Zero Company™ to outfit your droids with the Crystalline Astromech Pack Preorder Bonus, which includes the R3 droid and translucent “crystalline” astromech heads for the R4, R5 droid variants, as well as Star Wars Zero Company’s™ exclusive BR-1 droid.
Command an elite squad through a gritty and authentic story in Star Wars Zero Company™, a single-player turn-based tactics game set in the twilight of the Clone Wars™.
You will step into the shoes of Hawks, a former Republic officer who leads Zero Company as they are recruited for an operation that pits them against an emerging threat that will consume the galaxy if left unchecked.
Lead the Clone Wars’ Most Cunning Operatives
Command the galaxy’s finest in tactical operations, investigations and other heart-pounding missions through a cinematic original story.
Choose Your Path to Victory
Strategize and adapt at both your base of operations and an ever-shifting battlefield to make every move count. The outcomes of your decisions make each playthrough different.
Engage in Tactical Star Wars Combat
Deploy a team of operatives composed of a variety of archetypes ranging from scoundrels to astromechs, or even a Jedi, choosing from an arsenal of tactical abilities to outmaneuver and defeat your foes.
Forge Deep Bonds with your Squad
Improve your squad’s skills as you deploy them on missions, where they learn to work together and unlock new combat synergies that could be the difference between victory and defeat.
Personalize Your Fight
Customize Hawks’ combat specialization and appearance, then fill out your team with original and custom-made Star Wars characters, tailoring their appearances, loadouts, and abilities to fit your playstyle.
*Conditions and restrictions apply. See https://www.ea.com/games/starwars/zero-company/disclaimers for details.
Lucasfilm, STAR WARS and related properties are trademarks and/or copyrights, in the United States and other countries, of Lucasfilm Ltd. and/or its affiliates. © & TM 2026 Lucasfilm Ltd. All rights reserved.
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The 9 Senate seats most likely to flip in 2026
With less than three months until Election Day, the general election fight for control of the US Senate is in full swing after a summer of upheaval and decisions in Democratic contests.
Democrats believe the political environment is working in their favor as voter sentiment towards President Donald Trump continues to sour. But the party is confronting a difficult map that requires them to win in deep-red territory while holding onto all their seats. That includes Michigan, where the party’s left flank will face a major test with moderate swing voters across the battleground state.
On the mood: The country is clearly frustrated with the president’s performance as his approval rating hit 34% in a recent CNN poll conducted by SSRS, matching the career low he saw at the end of his first term.
A record-high of 73% of US adults say he hasn’t paid attention to the country’s most important problems, and roughly two-thirds of Americans – 65% – say Trump’s policies have worsened economic conditions. Another troubling economic indicator emerged last week as the economy unexpectedly lost 23,000 jobs last month.
The president, coupled with concerns on the economy and Iran, could be a major drag on Republican candidates this cycle, but Trump doesn’t see himself as the problem.
“They’re not angry at me, but they are angry at Republicans,” he told Punchbowl News, noting he’s not on the ballot and acknowledging questions about whether his base will turn out in November.
Democrats are leading Republicans on the generic ballot by 8 points, among registered voters, a CNN poll conducted by SSRS showed, and by a 10-point margin, Americans call Democrats more than Republicans “the party of change” – though it is worth noting nearly half say that label does not describe either party.
Still, the combination of a favorable environment, an edge in enthusiasm and strong nominees that could have appeal in GOP-leaning states have put the Senate very much in play.
For now, nine states will likely determine control of the Senate next year. Democrats need to flip four of the six GOP seats on this list plus hold onto three of their own. Some states have shifted since last month’s list with movement seen in Georgia, where Democratic Sen. Jon Ossoff holds the seat, and Texas, an open seat after GOP Sen. John Cornyn lost his primary.
Our ranking of the seats most likely to flip in November is based on CNN reporting, including conversations with strategists involved in Senate races, as well as our analysis of candidate fundraising, polling and the partisan environment in the states. The rankings are a snapshot of where the contests stand at this point in the cycle and will shift over the next three months as the general election comes into sharper focus.
North Carolina remains the state most likely to flip in November with Democratic nominee Roy Cooper in a strong position in the polls and money race against Republican Michael Whatley.
A Fox News poll released in late July found Cooper, a well-known former governor, up nine points over Whatley among North Carolina registered voters – 53% to 44%. The survey also found enthusiasm at a higher level among Democrats than Republicans in the state, which could prove advantageous for Cooper as he looks to mobilize voters as early voting kicks off next month.
Cooper’s campaign also is on stronger financial footing than Whatley, the former chair of the Republican National Committee. Cooper has brought in more than three times the amount Whatley has raised in the entire campaign, and the cash-on-hand disparity is even greater. Cooper has a war chest of $20.7 million compared to Whatley’s $3.5 million, second quarter fundraising reports revealed.
North Carolina has voted Republican on the presidential level in the past four presidential contests, but Cooper also won the governor’s seat in two of the years Trump carried the state. Democratic and Republican strategists believe the race will tighten in the coming months, but Cooper is still a clear favorite at this point.
2. Maine
A new layer of uncertainty was injected into the Maine Senate race last month as Democrats scrambled to replace their nominee, but the political dynamics of the state are keeping it near the top of the list of seats most likely to flip in November.
Sen. Susan Collins remains the most vulnerable Senate Republican this cycle and is the only GOP senator running in a state won by former Vice President Kamala Harris in 2024.

Collins has won difficult races in the past and Republicans have spent months highlighting her accomplishments for voters. But she is contending with significant voter angst with Trump and the Republican Party overall even as she’s attempted to cultivate a brand independent of the president at times.
Democrats, on the other hand, are dealing with a late roster change after Graham Platner exited the contest following a sexual assault allegation that he denied. The party quickly coalesced around former state Senate President Troy Jackson, a fifth-generation logger from the same rural county as Collins.
A University of New Hampshire Survey Center poll conducted prior to Jackson officially securing the Democratic nomination found the Maine Democrat at 49% support among likely voters compared to 46% for Collins.
That poll and the quick Democratic embrace of his candidacy are bright spots for Jackson, who is now operating with a very compressed window to execute a campaign. Democrats hope his working-class and progressive bona fides will animate some of the same voters who gravitated towards Platner, whose controversies dominated much of the attention in the contest.

But Jackson has less than four months to re-introduce himself to voters after his campaign for governor earlier this year was unsuccessful. The first TV ad of his campaign highlights his background as a logger and labor organizer while criticizing Collins for “not helping us now.”
He also faces a significant fundraising deficit against Collins, who ended the second quarter with $11 million in the bank. Jackson’s team has said he’s raised $3 million since he formally entered the race. Outside groups on both sides plan to spend heavily on the contest.
Republicans have made clear they plan to put Jackson’s past alliance with Platner front and center in their messaging. A super PAC supporting Collins quickly turned an ad highlighting his past campaign appearances with the scandal-plagued Platner, which the GOP hopes will be a liability with swing voters and women. Democrats, meanwhile, plan to tie Collins to Trump, who Mainers rejected in each of his presidential runs.
Maine’s spot on this list could shift as the race takes shape, especially as the contest in the next state on our list comes into clearer focus. But for now, Maine remains at number two.
Michigan is giving Republicans their best chance of flipping a Senate seat in November – an outcome that would almost certainly derail Democrats’ hopes of winning the majority.
Democrats emerged last week from a bitter and expensive primary with a newly minted Senate nominee: Abdul El-Sayed, a former state health official who is about to test whether a progressive can win statewide in one of the country’s premier battleground states. He is facing off against Republican former Rep. Mike Rogers, who narrowly lost a Senate bid to Democratic Sen. Elissa Slotkin in 2024.
El-Sayed beat establishment favorite Rep. Haley Stevens, who saw more than $62 million spent on her behalf by outside groups. El-Sayed, a savvy communicator, campaigned on enacting Medicare for All and criticizing the role of corporate money in politics while taking specific aim at AIPAC, the pro-Israel group which poured more than $30 million into the state to boost his opponent.

El-Sayed’s victory marked the biggest success for progressives in a Democratic primary this year, but he won by a slim margin – fewer than 16,000 votes – a single percentage point.
That razor-thin victory highlights a challenge for El-Sayed going forward as he seeks to unite the party and draw in swing voters in the battleground state. In the hours after the race was called, national Democratic campaign groups quickly rallied around his candidacy as did Stevens and other Michigan officials.
But Republicans are betting some Democrats are unconvinced. On Friday, Rogers issued his own direct-to-camera appeal to disappointed Democrats, saying they “have a home” with his campaign and promising to work hard to earn their support.
As Democrats spent months in a bruising fight, Rogers did not face any competition for the GOP nomination, a factor Republicans believe has strengthened his standing for the fall. During a call with supporters earlier this summer, Rogers said his campaign is in “good shape” if El-Sayed is the nominee, suggesting he would prefer to face off against the progressive in November. It fed into the arguments from Stevens and her supporters that El-Sayed was out-of-step with the broader electorate of the swing state.
The GOP has moved quickly with their lines of attack against El-Sayed, portraying him as radical and extreme. They tied him to controversial figures like Hasan Piker, who has said Hamas was a lesser evil than Israel and America “deserved” 9/11, a comment the far-left Twitch streamer later backed away from.

Democrats argue Rogers is a weak candidate who was unable to win when Trump carried the state in 2024. Trump and the economy are expected to play heavily in their messaging strategy amid overall frustration with the president’s performance and an economic crunch hitting the state, from high gas prices and the impact of tariffs on the auto industry.
One bright spot for Democrats: The Democratic primary prompted more than 1.5 million voters to cast Democratic ballots, a record for any non-presidential Democratic primary going back to 1998. That Democratic turnout signals a level of enthusiasm within the party that could carry into November.
There is no credible polling showing where an El-Sayed-Rogers matchup stands. El-Sayed has outraised Rogers slightly, bringing in $14.5 million to the Republican’s $10.9 million over the course of their campaigns. But as of mid-July, Rogers had nearly $2 million more cash on hand – $4.4 million to $2.5 million for El-Sayed, who was waging a primary fight.
On Friday, El-Sayed’s campaign announced he raised $2.3 million in the 48 hours after his primary victory.
The Democratic-aligned Senate Majority PAC has pledged $20 million for TV spending in the state while the Republican-aligned Senate Leadership Fund has committed $45 million. AIPAC also has said they plan to stay involved in the general election fight to oppose El-Sayed.
Beyond the implications for 2026, the result in Michigan this November also stands as a key early gauge for both parties as they head toward the 2028 presidential election.
Of the states that Trump carried by double digits in 2024, Ohio with its battle of senators is the most likely to flip.
Democratic former Sen. Sherrod Brown who lost to Republican Bernie Moreno in 2024, continues to outraise Republican Sen. Jon Husted, who was appointed to the seat in January 2025. The most recent fundraising reports revealed the Ohio Democrat has a war chest of $16.2 million compared to Husted’s $9.4 million cash on hand.
Other dynamics of the race have not shifted much since our last rankings. The last New York Times/Siena poll conducted in June showed no clear leader in the contest. But both candidates have started to hone their messages in the summer months.
Brown this week launched an ad criticizing Husted on Medicaid cuts, and he’s run a trio of ads on data centers, trying to tap into voter frustration with electricity cost spikes linked to the AI-powering facilities. On the GOP side, Husted has run spots painting Brown as “way too liberal for Ohio” and dinging him on immigration.
Alaska’s competitive Senate race comes in fifth once again as Democrats remain optimistic about former Rep. Mary Peltola’s chances against GOP Sen. Dan Sullivan, who is seeking a third term.
The state’s open primary on August 18 will determine the four candidates on the ballot in November – with a potential wildcard in the form of another contender also named Dan Sullivan. If the retired school teacher were also to advance to the general election, Republicans are concerned it could create confusion among voters and possibly benefit Peltola. The November contest will be determined by ranked-choice voting if no candidate wins a majority outright.
Peltola has outraised Sen. Sullivan in the contest, bringing in $18.5 million since entering the race in January compared to the incumbent’s $11.7 million. But Peltola appears to be spending money at a slightly faster rate – ending July with $4.6 million in the bank while Sullivan had $7.3 million cash on hand.
Iowa could take on even greater importance to the Democrats’ Senate math if Republicans are able to flip Michigan, leaving the party looking for another target to get the net gain of four seats it needs to win the majority.
GOP Rep. Ashley Hinson has so far outpaced state Rep. Josh Turek in the money race, ending June with $6.7 million in the bank compared to her Democratic rival, who had $2.4 million after winning a contested primary.
The Democratic-aligned SMP has upped its spending plans in the state to $30 million, bringing it on par with the $29 million promised by the GOP-aligned SLF. Polls conducted earlier the summer showed a near-even contest.
Democrats are hoping frustration about the GOP’s handling of the economy, including tariff impacts on farmers, will prompt voters to break for Turek, a self-described “prairie populist.” At the same time, they’re aware of the challenging task ahead in a state Trump won by 13 points in 2024.
It wasn’t long ago that the state voted twice for Democrat Barack Obama in his two presidential runs. Turek’s campaign recently tried to tap into that nostalgia, releasing a video of Turek, a Paralympian who won two gold medals for the US men’s wheelchair basketball team, shooting hoops with the former commander-in-chief.
With the midterm cycle underway, the state is quickly becoming a visiting ground for potential presidential hopefuls. In May, Vice President JD Vance campaigned for Rep. Zach Nunn in Des Moines, while Texas Sen. Ted Cruz, who beat Trump in the state’s 2016 GOP caucuses, traveled to the state last month for a fundraiser for the state’s attorney general, warning of Democratic enthusiasm in this year’s contests.
Texas is moving up two spots on this ranking list amid signs the Senate battle in the Lone Star State is growing more competitive.
A Fox News poll released last month found a close contest between Democratic state Rep. James Talarico and Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton among registered voters – 51% backing Talarico and 48% for Paxton – in line with other recent surveys that have shown the two candidates locked in a competitive race.

The Fox News survey also showed Democrats with an enthusiasm advantage over Republicans, and more voters expressed concerns about Paxton’s character than worry that Talarico is too extreme. Taken together, the findings represent a warning sign for Republicans in a state Trump carried by nearly 14 points just two years ago.
Talarico has proven to be one of the Democratic Party’s strongest fundraisers, raising $68.6 million since the start of his campaign and ending June with $21.5 million in the bank. Paxton has brought in $9.2 million over his Senate run and entered July with $1.8 million.
National Republican strategists say Paxton’s fundraising is picking up, but he will likely need additional help to make up the spending difference in a large state like Texas with expensive media markets.
The broader GOP will turn its attention to Texas next month as Trump hosts an unusual midterm convention in Dallas. But there have been no signs that any of the GOP-aligned groups are ready to send an injection of cash for Paxton’s campaign just yet.
“I’m optimistic that they’ll come in soon,” Paxton told Fox News on Sunday. “But we need help now,” he argued, pointing to Talarico’s strong ad spending.

That could change as the fall months approach, and MAGA Inc., the pro-Trump super PAC, may be one of the most closely watched outside entities as the group is sitting on $400 million of untapped funds. On the Democratic side, Senate Majority PAC also has not committed money to the contest.
In recent weeks, Paxton and Talarico both campaigned in towns along the US-Mexico border, an area heavily populated by Hispanic voters. Though Trump made significant gains with Latino voters in 2024, cracks have emerged in the GOP’s support with that voting bloc, which could be key in deciding the outcome of this Senate race.
New Hampshire stays in spot number eight on this month’s list as the fight to replace Democratic Sen. Jeanne Shaheen remains competitive.
The most recent UNH Survey Center poll conducted in June showed no clear leader in a hypothetical match-up between Democratic Rep. Chris Pappas and GOP former Sen. John E. Sununu. Both men are favored in their primaries next month.
Pappas is outraising Sununu with the Democrat bringing in $13.4 million to Sununu’s $3.6 million (including a $1.1 million transfer) over the course of their campaigns. Pappas appears to have burned through money at a slightly faster rate as he ended June with $5.2 million while Sununu had $2.7 million in the bank.
But Pappas has also warned national Democrats not to take the state – where Harris won by just three points – for granted. “New Hampshire’s purple. It was Kamala Harris’ closest state, and the Sununu name has been a household name for a long time since before I was born,” Pappas told Punchbowl last month. “It’s going to be incredibly tricky.”
After Michigan, New Hampshire gives the GOP the next best chance of flipping a state at this point in the cycle, but they face some real challenges in making that a reality, including a 62% disapproval rating among registered voters of the president’s job performance.
The second change to this month’s rankings comes in Georgia, which has dropped to the bottom of our list of states most likely to flip.
Democratic Sen. Jon Ossoff is the only Senate Democrat running for reelection in a state Trump won in 2024. On paper, that fact alone would make him one of the party’s most endangered incumbents and why the GOP had Georgia high on its target list from the start of the cycle.
But as the campaign has played out, Ossoff has emerged on stronger footing, and it may prove difficult for Republicans to make up enough ground to win here in November unless they are able to dramatically alter the current trajectory.

Ossoff continues to be a fundraising powerhouse, bringing in a total of $77.2 million since the beginning of last year and ending the second quarter with $42.6 million cash on hand. His GOP opponent, Rep. Mike Collins, has raised $6.6 million and ended June with $2 million in the bank. GOP committees plan to spend heavily in the contest, but Ossoff’s fundraising strength shows no signs of letting up.
This fundraising disparity comes on the heels of a June Fox News poll showing Ossoff up 13 points over Collins among registered voters in the state, though strategists in both parties believe this contest will tighten in the coming months.
Collins has come under the microscope in recent weeks after a report from CNN’s KFile revealed his son-in-law promoted White nationalist ideology and circulated antisemitic content online. Shortly after the report, the GOP congressman ended a press conference after repeatedly declining to answer questions about his relationship with his daughter’s husband.

Instead, Collins has tried to turn the tables on Ossoff, attempting to tie him to democratic socialists, but it’s unclear whether those attempts to define the Georgia Democrat will work.
In fact, two Republican mayors from conservative parts of the state last week endorsed Ossoff, another warning sign for Collins who needs the GOP to remain unified to make a serious run at defeating the Democratic incumbent.
In addition to these nine states, here are a few contests we’re keeping a close eye on in the coming months:
Kansas: Strategists in both parties are keeping tabs on the Kansas Senate race after a pastor with strong fundraising won the Democratic primary this month. Democrat Adam Hamilton, a United Methodist megachurch pastor, will face off against Republican Sen. Roger Marshall. Hamilton’s bid may still be a long shot, but Kansas has shown a willingness to buck its red-state status in recent years.
Montana: A critical deadline is approaching in the Montana Senate race as Monday marks the final day to drop out of the general election contest. The state features a three-way general election fight where the Democratic nominee Alani Bankhead and independent Seth Bodnar could split the vote, giving GOP nominee Kurt Alme a clear advantage to hold onto this Republican seat. But some Democrats would like to see Bankhead step aside so voters can coalesce around Bodnar. Bankhead so far has shown no signs she’s backing down.
Nebraska: Nebraska features another independent candidate trying to flip a Republican-held seat in November. Democratic nominee Cindy Burbank dropped out of the contest, effectively clearing her lane for Dan Osborn, an independent who ran unsuccessfully in 2024. His bid against GOP Sen. Pete Ricketts is likely a longshot, but party strategists are watching this race closely.
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