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Astronomers Devise a New Way to Measure Cosmic Expansion with Lensed Supernovae
Superliminous supernovae are miraculous events. For astronomers, they also provide a vital tool for measuring cosmic distances and the rate at which the Universe is expanding. As part of the Cosmic Distance Ladder, these incredibly bright stellar explosions are the “standard candles” for objects billions of light-years away. In a rare event, researchers from the University of Munich, using the Large Binocular Telescope (LBT) in Arizona, witnessed a superluminous supernova 10 billion light-years away that was far brighter than most explosions of its kind.
What was especially amazing about this supernova was that it appeared five times in the night sky due to gravitational lensing by two foreground galaxies. These galaxies bent the path of the supernova’s light, causing it to take different paths. Because these paths have different lengths, the light appeared in different places around the galaxies at different times. By measuring the time delays between the multiple images, the researchers were able to obtain measurements of how fast the Universe is expanding – aka the Hubble-Lemaitre Constant.
The team consisted of researchers from the Technical University of Munich (TUM), the Max Planck Institute for Astrophysics (MPG), the Harvard & Smithsonian Center for Astrophysics (CfA), the E.O. Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory, ETH Zurich, the Research Center for the Early Universe (RESCEU), the Cosmic Dawn Center (DAWN), the Ulugh Beg Astronomical Institute, the Chinese Academy of Sciences (CAS), Institute of Space Sciences (ICE, CSIC), the Excellence Cluster ORIGINS, the National Astronomical Observatory of Japan (NAOJ), the European Southern Observatory (ESO), the Space Telescope Science Institute (STScI), and multiple universities.
*Large Binocular Telescope on Mount Graham in Arizona, USA. Credit & ©: Dr. Christoph Saulder/MPE*
The paper describing their observations has been accepted for publication in Astronomy & Astrophysics
Only a few such measurements have been attempted to date because gravitationally lensed supernovae are so rare. It is also a challenging process, where astronomers must determine the masses of the lensing galaxies because this dictates how strongly the light from the background object is bent. To determine the masses of the two galaxies, the team obtained images with the LBT, using its two 8.4-meter (27.5 ft) mirrors and an adaptive optics system. The observations revealed two foreground lens galaxies at the center surrounded by five bluish images of the supernova explosion, making it look like fireworks!
Sherry Suyu, Associate Professor of Observational Cosmology at TUM and Fellow at the Max Planck Institute for Astrophysics, explained in an MPG press release:
We nicknamed this supernova SN Winny, inspired by its official designation SN 2025wny. It is an extremely rare event that could play a key role in improving our understanding of the cosmos. The chance of finding a superluminous supernova perfectly aligned with a suitable gravitational lens is lower than one in a million. We spent six years searching for such an event by compiling a list of promising gravitational lenses, and in August 2025, SN Winny matched exactly with one of them.
The image came as a surprise to the team since galaxy-scale lens systems normally produce only two or four copies. Using the positions of all five, junior researchers Allan Schweinfurth (TUM) and Leon Ecker (LMU) built the first model of the lens mass distribution. Said Allan Schweinfurth:
Until now, most lensed supernovae were magnified by massive galaxy clusters, whose mass distributions are complex and hard to model. SN Winny, however, is lensed by just two individual galaxies. We find overall smooth and regular light and mass distributions for these galaxies, suggesting that they have not yet collided in the past despite their close apparent proximity. The overall simplicity of the system offers an exciting opportunity to measure the Universe’s expansion rate with high accuracy.
This, in turn, could help astronomers and cosmologists relieve the ongoing issue of the Hubble Tension. To date, scientists have relied primarily on two methods to measure cosmic expansion: the Cosmic Distance Ladder and measurements of the Cosmic Microwave Background (CMB). The former is the local method, combining parallax, supernovae, and redshift measurements of bright objects to establish distances one step at a time. Since every step is dependent on the previous one, even small errors can add up and affect the final result.
In contrast, CMB measurements look back to the beginning of cosmic time by examining the “relic radiation” left over from the Big Bang. This approach is highly precise and relies on models of the early Universe to calculate its current rate of expansion. It relies heavily on assumptions about how the Universe evolved, however, which are still subject to debate. This study presents a third possible method in which astronomers use gravitationally lensed supernovae and measure the time delays between the multiple copies of the same image.
By calculating the mass distribution of the lensing galaxy, scientists can directly calculate the Hubble-Lemaitre Constant. “Unlike the cosmic distance ladder, this is a one-step method, with fewer and completely different sources of systematic uncertainties,” said Stefan Taubenberger, a leading member of Professor Suyu’s team and first author on their study.
Meanwhile, astronomers worldwide are observing SN Winny in detail with ground-based and space-based telescopes. Their results will provide new insights into cosmic expansion that could help resolve the Hubble Tension.
Further Reading: MPG
News
Riverside wants to fire three cops over disability claims, lawyer says
The city of Riverside is trying to fire three of its police officers because they’re using license plates for disabled veterans on their personal vehicles despite having no apparent problems performing their jobs, the officers’ attorney has claimed.
The department’s logic for firing the officers, their attorney Matthew McNicholas said, was that they must have lied to the California Department of Motor Vehicles in order to obtain the specialized plates, which exempt drivers from paying registration fees and allow them to use disabled parking spots and park in metered spots for free.
That logic is broken, McNicholas said, because under federal law, to get a 100% disability rating — which each of the officers obtained — a veteran doesn’t have to be fully disabled. A veteran can get that disability status through a combination of partial disabilities, such as partial hearing loss, post-traumatic stress disorder or a back injury. To obtain plates for veterans rated as 100% disabled, a person must submit a certificate from a medical professional or a county, state or federal veterans’ agency confirming their disability.
“The department said it’s a bad look” for the officers to come to work in their personal cars carrying plates for veterans with a 100% disability rating, McNicholas said in an interview Tuesday.
The Riverside Police Department declined to comment on the case or the officers’ status with the agency, citing employee confidentiality. But McNicholas said that the department is acting out of concern about public perception and to punish the officers for refusing to remove the plates when asked to do so by their superiors.
Officers Timothy Popplewell, Richard Cranford and Raymond Olivares were put on administrative leave and informed of an internal investigation into their use of veteran plates on May 21. They sued the agency about two months later, claiming in a complaint filed July 17 in Riverside County Superior Court that it had discriminated against them and harassed them based on their veteran and disability status. On Feb. 24, the Riverside City Council met in closed session to discuss whether to settle the case and voted against doing so, said Saku Ethir, the Riverside Police Officers’ Assn. attorney representing the officers. The day after that vote, the officers received notices of termination, Ethir said.
The city moved to fire the officers because despite having special veteran plates stemming from their war injuries, they “showed up to work” and “were completely fit and satisfactory,” McNicholas said in a video posted to Instagram March 2. All three had been asked by their superiors to replace the plates on their cars but refused, McNicholas said. A fourth officer with veteran plates agreed to remove them and has not faced termination, he said.
Through a spokesperson, the Riverside Police Department declined to answer questions about the officers, “due to the confidential nature of the personnel action which has not completed its process.”
In an Oct. 16 response to the officers’ lawsuit, the department said it “acted in good faith with reasonable belief that its actions were lawful and further did not directly or indirectly perform any acts whatsoever which would constitute a breach of any duty owed to Plaintiffs.”
Popplewell, Cranford and Olivares will still have a chance to argue to the department that they shouldn’t be fired, Ethir said. They’ve already been provided with documents the department relied on in its decision to fire them, but a hearing to appeal their termination has not yet been scheduled, she said. Ethir said she believes the department has not provided all the records it is legally obligated to give the officers.
Popplewell served in the military from 2008 to 2011 and was deployed in Iraq, McNicholas said. Olivares was in the Marines from 2013 to 2019 and was deployed in the Middle East and Africa. Cranford served in the Army from 2010 to 2014 and was deployed to Iraq. All three joined the Riverside Police Department in 2019, according to the lawsuit.
News
Why Did the UK Police Repeatedly Decline to Investigate Claims About Epstein and Prince Andrew?
The police in London interviewed Virginia Giuffre three times over her allegations about Jeffrey Epstein, Andrew Mountbatten-Windsor and Ghislaine Maxwell, but never began a criminal investigation.
News
AI Could Make Alien Contact More Likely for SETI’s ‘Project Hail Mary’
“Project Hail Mary,” a science-fiction novel that’s just been turned into a big-budget, big-screen movie, tells the story of an unlikely astronaut who unexpectedly encounters an alien during a desperate mission to save their respective civilizations.
The astronaut (played by Ryan Gosling in the movie) and the alien have to figure out on the spot whether they’re friends or foes. They also have to come up with a translation system that can accommodate two completely different ways of communicating.
That all makes for a do-or-die space drama reminiscent of “Apollo 13” — but the day is fast approaching when advances in astronomy and artificial intelligence could take a lot of the drama out of alien contact.
Seth Shostak, senior astronomer for the SETI Institute, says he wouldn’t be at all surprised if our first encounter with aliens came in the form of AI-to-AI contact.
“My guess is that the aliens are going to be machines, because that’s what we’re doing, right?” he says in the latest episode of the Fiction Science podcast. “We’re just in the early days of building machines that can do things that humans have had to do in the past. I’m sure that 100 years from now, the most capable intelligence on this planet will not be some sort of soft and squishy biological thing. That’s going to be a machine. And so, if we hear the aliens, I suspect that it’s more than likely that they, too, will be machines.”
If you’re worried that talking about AI and the search for aliens will require delving deeply into spoilers, never fear: Artificial intelligence doesn’t really play a role in the “Project Hail Mary” movie. It’s mentioned only once in the Andy Weir novel on which the movie is based — merely to explain why the planners of the do-or-die mission opted not to use AI. (We do get into spoilers toward the end of this post, however, so consider yourselves warned.)
For more than 65 years, astronomers have been searching the skies for radio signals that might have been sent out by extraterrestrial civilizations. “The usual approach is to build a receiver that can monitor thousands — well, today, millions of different channels simultaneously,” Shostak says. “And you can just look at how that capability has improved over time. It turns out it follows what’s called Moore’s Law … which says that the speed of electronics more or less doubles every two years.”
It takes a lot of computing power to monitor millions of channels, and Shostak says he’s certain that AI will accelerate the search for extraterrestrial intelligence, better known as SETI.
There’s already evidence of that: Last November, the Breakthrough Listen Initiative reported that an AI system developed in partnership with NVIDIA could process real-time data from telescopes searching for fast radio bursts at a rate more than 600 times faster than the current data pipeline. The system improved detection accuracy by 7% and reduced false positives by nearly an order of magnitude.
“This technology doesn’t just make us faster at finding known types of signals — it enables us to discover completely unexpected signal morphologies,” Andrew Siemion, principal investigator for the Breakthrough Listen Initiative, said in a news release. “An advanced civilization might use burst-like communications, modulated signals or transmission schemes we haven’t even imagined. This AI system can learn to recognize patterns that a human might miss entirely.”
Several years ago, another team of astronomers used a machine language algorithm to identify potential alien signals that were overlooked by other data-processing systems. (But don’t get too excited: Follow-up observations didn’t confirm that the signals came from extraterrestrial civilizations. You would have heard if they did.)
AI tools could help astronomers overcome some of the obstacles facing the SETI quest. For example, one group of researchers recently reported that signals from alien civilizations could be scrambled by stormy space weather. Improved pattern-recognition software just might be able to pick out the signal hidden in the cosmic noise.
AI models could also come into play for interpreting alien messages once they’re found. But Shostak isn’t focusing so much on that challenge. “Even if we never understand what the aliens are saying, just the fact that we pick up the signal and can tell that it’s an artificial signal — in other words, made by some technology — that’s very interesting, because we’ve proved that they’re there,” Shostak says.
Understanding what the aliens are saying “would be interesting to know, but I would consider that a secondary benefit of finding their presence,” he says.
Seth Shostak is senior astronomer at the SETI Institute. (SETI Institute Photo)
Shostak compares the challenge of deciphering alien messages to the challenge that archaeologists faced when they unearthed Egyptian hieroglyphs. “The best way to decipher the hieroglyphics is to have lots of people working on the problem, so just make them known,” he says. “I think the same sort of logic applies here.”
Douglas Vakoch, the president of METI International, has spent a lot of time working on the message translation problem. You can tell that from his organization’s acronym, which stands for “Messaging Extraterrestrial Intelligence.” He says AI can play a supporting role in detecting and decoding alien messages, but not the starring role.
“We need to realize that when we humans try to find patterns hidden in radio static, we may start out with some cut-and-dried guidelines that are very similar to the clear rules used by AI. But often we fail to realize exactly how our rules fall short, because we don’t lay them out clearly,” Vakoch told me via email. “AI forces us to get clear about how we are attempting to solve problems, and simply learning from AI how it is attempting to solve a problem can make us say, ‘You’ve missed something critical. You need to do this instead.’ ”
In his view, discovering an alien message is only half the battle.
“An even greater challenge will be understanding what it means. And that’s where humans will continue to play a role, even as AI becomes more computationally sophisticated in the years to come,” Vakoch said. “Deciphering a message from extraterrestrials will be much more ambiguous. AI might help us detect patterns in alien messages that humans would miss, but we’ll still need people to figure out what the message means.”
How long will it take to make alien contact? Will we need to wait for a do-or-die mission to a faraway star system? More than 20 years ago, Shostak predicted that we’d find evidence of aliens by 2025 or so. And for more than 15 years, he’s been betting a cup of coffee on it.
Now Shostak is acknowledging that he might have to pay up. “Next time I see you, I’ll buy you a cup of coffee,” he says. “We haven’t found them yet. … Maybe it was just wishful thinking, but honestly, I think that it was more based on the known rate of improvement in the experiments to find the aliens.”
Maybe SETI astronomers just need more time to take advantage of Moore’s Law and AI. Maybe it’ll take another 20 years, or 200 years, to follow through on the promise of “Project Hail Mary” and connect with alien travelers. But in the meantime, I’ll take that cup of coffee.
Here come the spoilers
If you haven’t already read “Project Hail Mary,” it can be tricky to keep track of the movie’s scientific twists and turns. Some of those plot twists have interesting parallels to real-world science, and I can’t resist pointing them out.
“Project Hail Mary” is scheduled for theatrical release on March 20, and it’s already getting rave reviews. For more from Seth Shostak, check out Big Picture Science, the podcast he co-hosts; and look for his columns in Astronomy magazine.
My co-host for the Fiction Science podcast is Dominica Phetteplace, an award-winning writer who is a graduate of the Clarion West Writers Workshop and lives in San Francisco. To learn more about Phetteplace, visit DominicaPhetteplace.com.
This report was originally posted on Cosmic Log, the home base for the Fiction Science podcast. Stay tuned for future episodes of Fiction Science via Apple, Spotify, Player.fm, Pocket Casts and Podchaser. Fiction Science is included in FeedSpot’s 100 Best Sci-Fi Podcasts. If you like Fiction Science, please rate the podcast and subscribe to get alerts for future episodes.
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