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Is the Large Magellanic Cloud a First-Time Visitor?
Our most massive satellite galaxy, the Large Magellanic Cloud (LMC), has been the center of a heated debate in the astrophysics community over the last few years. That debate centers on whether this is the LMC’s first or second “pass” by the Milky Way itself – and it has huge implications for the evolution of our galaxy given the disruption such a large grouping of stars has. A new paper from Scott Lucchini, Jiwon Jesse Han, Sapna Mishra, and Andrew J. Fox and his co-authors, currently available in pre-print on arXiv, provides what they claim to be definitive evidence that this is, in fact, the first time LMC has encountered the Milky Way.
To understand the debate, it’s best to look at its history. For decades, there was an ongoing debate about the orbital path of the LMC. The discussion centered around a collisionless N-body dynamics model that tracked stars and their gravity. But back in 2024, physicist Eugene Vasiliev released a stunning paper that presented an argument that the LMC might have first passed the Milky Way 6-8 billion years ago at a distance of roughly 100 kiloparsecs.
Upon release of that paper, the debate was reignited. Vasiliev posited that, if the Milky Way’s dark energy halo was anisotropic (meaning the velocities of dark matter particles are skewed in certain directions), the current speed and position of the LMC would align perfectly with a “second pass” orbit. Dr. Lucchini and his co-authors are firmly on the other side of that argument.
Anton Petrov discusses the Large Magellanic cloud and what it means for the future of our own galaxy. Credit – Anton Petrov YouTube Channel
They released two papers directly tackling the idea. First was paper tracing trajectories of “hypervelocity stars” that had been previously ejected by the LMC’s central black hole. They found that the stellar dynamics of these fast-moving stellar objects aligned with both a first pass and second pass model. In other words, it did nothing to settle the argument.
So they began looking for a second, more definitive option. That option presented itself through an unexpected avenue – hydrodynamics. Using a software simulation package known as GIZMO, they combined rigid, analytical dark matter models of both the LMC and Milky way with “live” gas particles representing the mediums surrounding the two galaxies. Once they ran the simulations, they used another software package called Trident to generate mocked up data that would be expected in the ultraviolet spectroscopic observations of the simulated gas.
After they had their simulated data, they began to compare it to observational data – specifically Carbon IV and Hydrogen II absorption data from background quasars, located past the LMC itself. The results were conclusive – the simulation beautifully reproduced the observed velocity and column density profiles of the modern LMC. Just as conclusively, the model of a second-pass does not fit as well. Specifically, the LMC’s time spent “swimming” through the Milky Way’s gas in this scenario results in a much smaller “corona” – the massive halo of warm, ionizing gas surrounding the galaxy.
Video describing how the LMC could survive a collision with the Milky Way’s halo. Credit – European Space Agency YouTube Channel
While those results seem very cut and dry, there are a few simplifications the authors took in the interest of saving computing capacity. The Small Magellanic Cloud (SMC) was completely excluded from the simulation, and it actually contributes a majority of the neutral gas in the Magellanic Streams that both galaxies trail. Ignoring this could significantly alter the gas profile, the authors note. Also, the simulations massively simplified the Corona itself, using a warm-hot, single-phase model instead of the massively complicated multi-phase reality – largely in a nod to saving computational power.
Ultimately, these two papers together offer a brilliant tie-breaker in this debate. However, they weren’t the only ones contributing to the debate. A few weeks before these two papers were released, an independent team utilizing the Subaru Hyper Suprime-Cam published a paper that showcased stars sitting around 30kpc out in the Milky Way’s halo. This tidal debris aligns well with Vasiliev’s second-passage model, and is recent enough that the other side of the debate hasn’t yet had time to process counter arguments.
In other words, it’s still not clear whether or not this is our first rodeo with the Large Magellanic Cloud. Hopefully upcoming missions, such as NASA’s Aspera mission, will allow us to look directly at the morphology and distribution of the Magellanic gas more closely. But until then, the debate will continue in the pages of academic journals.
Learn More:
S. Lucchini et al. – The LMC Corona Favors a First Passage
S. Lucchini & J.J. Han – Threading the Magellanic Needle: Hypervelocity Stars Trace the Past Location of the LMC
UT – Our Galaxy Has a Hot Side and Now We Know Why
UT – The Large Magellanic Cloud Survived its Closest Approach to the Milky Way
News
JWST May Be Missing Water Hidden Deep Within Mini-Neptune Worlds
Sub-Neptune exoplanets, exoplanets that are slightly smaller than Neptune, have been designated as the most common type of planet in the Milky Way Galaxy based on their vast discovery numbers, totaling almost 3,300 out of the more than 6,300 confirmed exoplanets to date. Despite these numbers, the characteristics of sub-Neptunes remain relatively unknown. This is primarily due to our own solar system not having its own sub-Neptune to use as an analog, along with their atmospheres being thick and hazy. As a result, this makes telescopic observations, even from powerful instruments like NASA’s James Webb Space Telescope, extremely difficult.
Now, a team of researchers from the United States and Canada and led by the University of Chicago (UChicago) might be one step closer to better understanding the compositions of sub-Neptunes, which they discuss in a recent study published in The Astrophysical Journal. For the study, the team used a series of computer models to simulate the atmospheric and interior composition of TOI-270 d, which is a sub-Neptune discovered in 2019 and located about 73 light-years away. Its radius and mass are about two times and 4.2 times of Earth, respectively, and it takes about 11.4 days to orbit its red dwarf star, which is smaller and cooler than our Sun. TOI-270 d and its sister planets, TOI-270 b and TOI-270 c, all orbit within the interior of their star’s habitable zone.
JWST had previously identified the existence of carbon dioxide, methane, and hydrogen within TOI-270 d’s atmosphere, which this combination indicates the presence of water. However, the exact state of the water remains unknown, meaning scientists don’t know if the water is a solid, a liquid, or a gas, along with the conditions that enable water and hydrogen to mix or separate.
In the end, the researchers found that a combination of temperature and the water-hydrogen ratio play a role in determining the mixing and separating of water and hydrogen. Specifically, TOI-270 d has a larger amount of water than hydrogen and combined with its warmer temperatures of 537 degrees Celsius (1,000 degrees Fahrenheit) could result in the water sinking beneath the hydrogen atmosphere, with the former shielding the lower-level water from observations, even from JWST. Essentially, sub-Neptunes could possess more water than scientists had previously estimated, and this challenges longstanding hypotheses that sub-Neptunes had well-mixed interiors instead of separated interiors as proposed by this study.
“It’s very possible these planets are hiding much more water than their atmospheres let on,” said Dr. Caroline Piaulet-Ghorayeb, who is a postdoctoral researcher at UChicago and lead author of the study. “It’s an interesting question, both because water is so important for life as we know it, and because it signals we have to interpret the data coming in from new, powerful telescopes in a more nuanced way to really know what’s going on.”
Some examples of “new, powerful telescopes” that Dr. Piaulet-Ghorayeb could be alluding to include several NASA, European Space Agency (ESA), and European Southern Observatory (ESO) planned telescopes. Most notably, NASA’s Nancy Grace Roman Space Telescope is slated to launch on August 30, 2026, and whose primary mission will include using a coronagraph to directly image exoplanets. An example of a ground-based telescope that could contribute to exoplanet atmospheric science is the ESO’s Extremely Large Telescope (ELT), which is currently under active construction and is slated to begin scientific operations around December 2030.
What new insights into sub-Neptunes and their deep, watery atmospheres will researchers make in the coming years and decades? Only time will tell, and this is why we science!
As always, keep doing science & keep looking up!
News
ICE shootings protested in Pasadena on National Day of Action
Approximately 50 demonstrators gathered Saturday morning in Pasadena as part of a national action to honor lives lost during immigration enforcement operations and in detention centers during the Trump administration.
They wore fliers around their necks, hung with yellow thread, bearing the smiling faces and names of some of the 75 people who have died since January 2025.
“Killed by ICE” was printed above a photo of each person, including local resident Roberto Carlos Montoya Valdez, a 52-year-old killed while trying to flee immigration agents who descended on a Home Depot in Monrovia last year.
The Los Angeles residents, part of the San Gabriel Foothills Indivisible group, carried American flags and held signs that read “No ICE No War” and “Stop ICE Murders.”
“Good morning, Pasadena,” Betsy Hanger, an organizer with the group, boomed into a megaphone as she walked through an intersection. “Honk for democracy. Honk if you want ICE off our streets now.”
A chorus of horns sounded as drivers signaled their support.
Organizer Andra Clarke held a banner in each hand that read “Neighbors Say ICE Out.” The sign around her neck carried the name and photo of Francisco Gaspar-Andrés, a 48-year-old who died in a Texas detention center in December.
Heba Turner was among protesters demanding justice for those killed by ICE officers.
(Myung J. Chun / Los Angeles Times)
Clarke, 61, said the group has been gathering at the intersection of Colorado Boulevard and Fair Oaks Avenue every Saturday since March. Last weekend, they celebrated civil rights activist John Lewis.
This Saturday, though, their focus was aimed at ICE.
“Now 75 people have died at the hands of ICE,” Clarke said. “We were originally told, ‘Oh they’re going to go after the criminals, the people who are the worst of the worst.’ That’s a lie; that is not what’s happening.
“They’re targeting communities, they’re targeting people of color. It’s fascism. … Anybody who cares about humanity should care about what’s happening.”
Clarke said it hit her hard when she learned of the two recent deaths at the hands of ICE.
The event was also a vigil honoring 52-year-old Lorenzo Salgado Araujo, who was killed by an ICE agent in Houston on July 7 while driving his construction crew to a job site, and Johan Sebastian Guerrero, 25, who was fatally shot by an ICE officer in Maine during a traffic stop earlier this month.
“It’s like, again? It just doesn’t end. It feels like it never ends — the evil.”
Shortly before noon, Clarke used a megaphone to read aloud the names of the dozens who have died. After each name read, Hanger struck a singing bowl, the vibrations sounding out in the corner where they stood. At times, she read “unidentified man” or “four unidentified women.”
Next to them was a poster board with a photo of Daphy Michel, a 31-year-old woman found unresponsive at a bus shelter in Pittsburgh after ICE released her “into cold winter conditions and no care for mental health episodes or notice to relatives.”
“Let’s take a moment of silence for all those who were taken,” Clarke said, bowing her head.
“It’s like, again? It just doesn’t end. It feels like it never ends — the evil,” said Andra Clarke, an organizer for San Gabriel Foothills Indivisible.
(Myung J. Chun / Los Angeles Times)
Among those gathered to listen was Leticia Lopez, a 65-year-old South Pasadena resident whose voice trembled as she talked about the impact of hearing about another arrest or death tied to enforcement operations.
“It gets me to the core,” she said, striking her chest. “It’s not getting any better, it’s getting worse. I just feel like I need to do something.”
Lopez, who wore a shirt that read “Immigrants are not criminals but the president is,” said her mother and grandmother were forcefully repatriated from Arizona to Mexico.
Her mother, who was raised in Mexico, later met her father there. He moved to the U.S. in the 1950s as a bracero. Hearing the stories of today, she said, “triggers everything that they went through.”
“When I see it happening, it’s a generational trauma that I feel,” she said. Lopez said people around her are carrying passports and documents in public to prove they’re citizens.
“Because they’re afraid they might be profiled, picked up, kidnapped by ICE. When my son goes out, I worry,” she said of her 28-year-old.
Later that afternoon, about four miles away outside of Home Depot in Pasadena, organizers staked in the ground dozens of white crosses that bore photos of the dead — the majority of them men. Attendees of the vigil laid flowers at the crosses in a makeshift cemetery.
“Shot dead by ICE,” read one with a photo of Keith Porter Jr., who was killed by an off duty ICE officer in California.
Several of them contained details of how the deaths unfolded. A man killed after a tractor trailer struck him as he fled an ICE raid in Florida. A Cuban immigrant who died in a detention center (his death was later ruled a homicide). A Mexican national who fell 30 feet to his death during a raid in California.
Among the photos on crosses were Renee Good and Alex Pretti.
“Are we going to wait until 70 more die to do something?” asked Marlom Portillo, an educator with the National Day Laborer Organizing Network, as he staked more crosses into the ground.
“What they want us to do is forget them,” Portillo added. “We will never get tired of denouncing this atrocity.”
“There are more people who died than there are people here protesting,” Kathleen Vallee, a Monrovia resident, observed to her friend. “And that says a lot about us.”
Vallee said when she attended the “No Kings” protest, it was “jam-packed.” Only a dozen people had gathered around 20 minutes into the vigil.
“It turns my stomach,” Vallee said, hands clasped. “This just seems to be seeping up from the sewer into our democracy and that motivates me.”
As the small crowd assembled, demonstrators carried signs that read “Every person is sacred,” “we keep us safe” and “neighbors say ICE out.” One woman carried a handmade sign that read: “Who will they come for next?”
Sheri Lochner, a 64-year-old Monrovia resident, is part of East Pasadena Community Defense Corner, a small group that “provides support and a sense of community” for day laborers.
Lochner said she watched as immigrant agents took six or seven men at an Oct. 1 ICE raid at the Monrovia Home Depot.
“So un-American,” Lochner said, as she scanned the rows of crosses. “This isn’t right.”
She added that her mom, who voted for Trump the first time, agreed with her.
“I speak up, I will not be silent,” she added.
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