Success in the regular season doesn’t always carry over to the playoffs.
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2025 NFL Week 2 betting – Monday Night Football: Buccaneers-Texans and Chargers-Raiders
The NFL’s Week 2 slate wraps up with a “Monday Night Football” doubleheader. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers visit the Houston Texans (-2.5, 42.5) to get things started (7 p.m. ET on ABC/ESPN), followed by the Las Vegas Raiders hosting the Los Angeles Chargers (-3.5, 46.5) in the nightcap (10 p.m. ET on ESPN).
From odds and trends to picks, props and analysis from our experts, here’s everything you need to help make your decisions at the betting window.
Note: Odds at time of publication. For the latest updates, visit ESPN BET.
Jump to:
TB-HOU: Game picks
Prop bets | Betting trends
LAC-LV: Game picks
Prop bets | Betting trends

The Buccaneers went on the road and got a big performance from rookie wide receiver Emeka Egbuka in a 23-20 win over the Atlanta Falcons in Week 1, while the Texans couldn’t get anything going in a 14-9 road loss to the Matthew Stafford and the Los Angeles Rams.
The Buccaneers are the odds-on favorite to win the NFC South at -200, while the Texans now find themselves co-favorites with the Jacksonville Jaguars at +185 in the AFC South.
Houston is a 2.5-point favorite in the second game of Monday night’s doubleheader.
Buccaneers-Texans game bets
Buccaneers +2.5 (Even)
Maldonado: This is on the premise that Houston doesn’t get its act together fast. The Texans were stuck in neutral in Week 1 — bottom three in success rate and a league-worst third-down rate (22%) — and played way too much 11 personnel behind a shaky offensive line. If adjustments aren’t made, C.J. Stroud could be in for another long night. Tampa’s defense just held Atlanta to 2.5 yards per carry and made Michael Penix Jr. settle for a quick-passing game script. With Vita Vea clogging lanes and Haason Reddick screaming off the edge, Nick Chubb isn’t likely to save Houston, especially with no role in the passing game. Baker Mayfield isn’t perfect, but he has Mike Evans and Emeka Egbuka to work with, and his defense can carry the weight. If the Texans don’t fix things quick, the Bucs could be the ones cashing in on Sunday night.
Notable player props, bets
0:41
Nico Collins looking to get back on track in Week 2
DJ Bien-Aime breaks down how the Texans plan to get Nico Collins more involved in Week 2.
Nick Chubb to go UNDER 51.5 rushing yards (-115)
Maldonado: This makes too much sense. Chubb had 60 yards last week, but that was against light boxes all game, and he handled only about half the backfield touches. Now he faces a Tampa defense that just held Bijan Robinson and Tyler Allgeier to a combined 48 yards on 22 carries. The Buccaneers were top five against the run last year and picked up right where they left off. With Vea and Reddick up front, they can bottle up Chubb, especially with Chubb a nonfactor in the passing game.
Bucky Irving to go OVER 88.5 rushing + receiving yards (-115)

Loza: The Texans held Kyren Williams to 3.7 yards per carry in Week 1. As such, I’m not expecting a terribly efficient showing from Irving. However, his talent as a pass-catcher figures to be on full display. Houston pressured Matthew Stafford to the tune of six QB hits and three sacks last week. Given Tristan Wirfs‘ absence, Mayfield is also likely to feel the heat and, subsequently, rely on a short-yardage outlet. I expect Irving to be peppered (he converted 4-of-4 targets in Week 1) enough to boost his overall output over the above line.
Jayden Higgins to go OVER 2.5 receptions (+105)
Bowen: With Christian Kirk expected to miss his second straight game (hamstring), let’s play for Higgins to see a bump in volume. Higgins caught two of three targets in his pro debut versus the Rams in Week 1, and he will have opportunities to work the intermediate windows against the Bucs’ zone coverages on Monday night.
Defensive props
Danielle Hunter to go OVER 0.5 sacks (+160)
Walder: Last season, no player recorded more pass rush wins or a higher pass rush win rate than Hunter. Maybe I would think twice here if the Texans defensive end were facing Tristan Wirfs, but the Buccaneers’ star left tackle is out with a knee injury. And Houston is also a light favorite, so there are no expected game-script issues working against Hunter, either. All in all, my model is fully on board here, making Hunter +104 to go over 0.5 sacks on Monday night.
Betting trends
Courtesy ESPN Research
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Tampa Bay is 11-2 against the spread as a road underdog since 2023 and 14-4 ATS in road games overall in that span.
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The Buccaneers moved from -110 to -200 to win the NFC South after beating the Falcons in Week 1.
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Houston is 0-5 ATS in September since 2024 but is 4-0 ATS in games off more than six days rest since 2024.
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Despite the Texans’ Week 1 loss, they are still favored to win the AFC South, dropping from -110 to +185.
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Schefter: Raiders look like a tough out in a tough division
Adam Schefter was impressed by Pete Carroll’s debut as Raiders coach.
Justin Herbert and the Chargers knocked off the defending AFC champion Kansas City Chiefs 27-21 in Brazil in Week 1, while the Raiders came away with a 20-13 road win against the New England Patriots behind a big performance from Geno Smith.
The Chargers are now +200 to win the AFC West, just behind the Chiefs at +160. Meanwhile, the Raiders saw their odds to make the playoffs shift from +340 to +130.
The Chargers won both matchups with the Raiders by double digits last season.
Chargers-Raiders game bets
Chargers -3.5 (-105)
Maldonado: Mega-small sample size, but it looks like the Chargers are the more complete offense with sustained drives, while the Raiders are more explosive but less balanced. If the Chargers’ offensive line neutralizes Maxx Crosby and company, they cover.
Notable player props, bets
Justin Herbert to go OVER 255.5 passing yards (-115)
Moody: Herbert was excellent against the Chiefs in Week 1, spreading the ball to Ladd McConkey, Keenan Allen and Quentin Johnston. Despite playing in Greg Roman’s run-oriented offense, it looks like the Chargers might lean on Herbert and the passing game more than expected. Herbert has cleared this line in four of his last five games dating back to last season — including one against the Raiders — and Las Vegas just allowed 287 passing yards to Drake Maye in Week 1. Herbert is well-positioned for another strong outing.
Omarion Hampton to go OVER 55.5 rushing yards (-115)
Loza: The Raiders invested significant resources in their defense over the offseason, and those efforts appeared to pay off in Week 1, as they held New England to 3.3 YPC. But the Patriots’ backfield became an afterthought as the Raiders’ lead increased. Moreover, it’s worth noting that TreVeyon Henderson was able to rip off a long run. Hampton figures to be a bigger test and, given the spread, game flow should work in his favor.
Omarion Hampton to record 3+ receptions (+165)
Bowen: Hampton had two receptions in Week 1, and he has the ability to produce on swings, screens or checkdowns. Look for Hampton to post numbers as an outlet for Herbert on Monday night.
Ladd McConkey longest reception OVER 24.5 yards (-110)
Maldonado: This feels automatic. McConkey was inches away from cashing this exact look in Week 1 and now draws a Raiders defense that just gave up 362 through the air and got burned for multiple chunk plays. With defenses having to respect Keenan Allen, Quentin Johnston and even Tyler Conklin, McConkey is going to see single coverage in spots where Herbert can let it rip.
Betting trends
Courtesy ESPN Research
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The Chargers are 11-2 ATS as a favorite since 2024 and 6-1 ATS as road favorites.
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The Chargers are 7-0 ATS against division opponents since 2024.
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The Raiders are 0-3 ATS in their last three games as a home underdog.
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The Raiders’ opening win total was 5.5 (Even) at ESPN BET but moved to 7.5 (-120) after last week’s win.
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The Lakers have found a playoff riser against the Thunder
The difference is bigger than ever, as lower seeds are advancing more often. The games get tougher, players play harder and defenses focus for all 48 minutes.
A playoff riser is a term for players who elevate their game and perform at their best when the stakes are highest. Rui Hachimura, through eight games this year and continuing from previous playoff runs, has done just that as he’s transformed into one of the most reliable jump shooters in basketball.
Putting up a valiant fight, the Lakers fell to OKC on Thursday and now trail 2-0 in the series. The results are no surprise as, without superstar Luka Dončić, the purple and gold were heavy underdogs against the deepest team in the league.
OKC will remain heavy favorites even as the series shifts to Los Angeles for Games 3 and 4.
The final score didn’t reflect the competitiveness of either of the first two matchups. The Thunder pulled away in the fourth in Game 1 to win by 18. The start of Game 2 looked like a continuation as OKC scored the first seven points and LA missed its first five shots.
As they’ve done many times, the Lakers found their “release valve” who made something out of nothing.
Watch below as Marcus Smart drives into the congested lane with no advantage and kicks out at Hachimura. Defended by the Chet Holmgren, runner-up for Defensive Player of the Year, Rui attacks him in isolation and gets to his patented mid-range pull-up to break the ice for LA.
Called a lost art and a shot that’s maligned during the 82-game grind, the mid-range jumper becomes essential once teams game plan to take away attempts at the rim or 3-point line.
Among players who attempted a minimum of two per game, Hachimura led the league in the regular season from mid-range, shooting 55.6% on those jumpers.
Where he’s become irreplaceable for LA during the playoffs is the 3-point shooting. Hachimura is currently at a blistering 57.1% on over five attempts per game this postseason after shooting 48% last year in five games against Minnesota.
That number leads the Lakers and ranks second among players who take at least three per game in the entire playoffs.
With LA still reeling to start Game 2, trailing 11-4, watch below as Hachimura catches it in the corner off a LeBron James pass and hits the 3-pointer over an outstretched Holmgren.
His main value remains being a player you can’t tag off of in the corner while the Lakers run on-ball actions. Watch below as Austin Reaves, who scored 31 points in Game 2, collects one of his six assists with a skip pass to the wide-open Hachimura.
Hachimura’s 57.1% from three jumps to an automatic 70.4% on wide-open attempts.
Taking into account the Lakers’ storied history as a franchise, Hachimura is already ninth all-time in 3-pointers made. He still holds the record for the highest playoff 3-point percentage in NBA history at 51%.
He’s not a perfect player by any means. The defensive foot speed, lack of athletic tools at his position as a three or four and finishing at the rim leave a lot to be desired.
With that being said, he’s scored in double digits every game this postseason. He’s shot above 50% in seven of the eight games and reliably played over 40 minutes in the Lakers’ first three contests against Houston to help upset the Rockets in the first round.
Being tagged as one of the best shooters in the league, or a “laser” as head coach JJ Redick calls it, is an extremely valuable piece, especially considering the needs around Luka this summer.
Hachimura is in the last year of a deal that will send him into unrestricted free agency. While they have his Bird rights, the Lakers have a ton of players to evaluate and are not in a position to let talent walk out the door without getting anything in return.
The grass could always be greener when it comes to wings in the NBA. No matter how this season ends, LA has one that’s shown to be a playoff riser, making for tough decisions to come this summer.
You can follow Raj on X at @RajChipalu
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Who is the best FPL captain for Double Gameweek 36?
In a Gameweek where Manchester City are one of only TWO clubs to play twice, the captaincy decision for millions of managers in Fantasy Premier League comes down to this: are you looking to defend your mini-league lead or do you need to take risks to gain ground on your rivals with just three rounds of fixtures remaining?
As the most-owned player in Fantasy, there is no doubt that Erling Haaland (£14.7m) is set to be the runaway captain favourite for Man City’s two home matches in Double Gameweek 36 (DGW36) against Brentford and Crystal Palace.
And some of his 62 per cent backers will also be playing their Triple Captain chip on the Norwegian, who has returned to top form by scoring in three successive matches for the first time since Gameweeks 6-8.
But you only need to look back to Man City’s recent Double Gameweek 33 (DGW33) to show why Haaland has strong competition from his team-mates.
Indeed, both Nico O’Reilly (£5.2m) and Rayan Cherki (£6.6m) matched the 13 points of Haaland across those contests against Arsenal and Burnley.
Who are Man City’s form players?
An assessment of Man City’s last four matches – since they moved back to a lone forward formation – shows that Haaland has been outscored by five of his team-mates in Fantasy.
Jeremy Doku (£6.4m) leads the way on 31 points, scoring three goals and supplying an assist.
Cherki and O’Reilly, meanwhile, boast identical records – they have both amassed 28 points, producing four returns and blanking only once.
Whereas Cherki’s returns consist of one goal and three assists, O’Reilly’s listing as a defender in Fantasy is crucial here – he combined a goal and an assist with two clean sheets to mirror his team-mate’s output.
Haaland has also blanked only once, with his return to form boosted by the 4-2-3-1 system.
Man City’s top-scoring players, last four matches
| Player | Pts | Returns | Blanks/Starts |
| Doku | 31 | 4 | 1/4 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cherki, O’Reilly | 28 | 4 | 1/4 |
| Guehi | 27 | 4 | 1/4 |
| Khusanov | 24 | 2 | 0/4 |
| Haaland | 22 | 3 | 1/4 |
Scroll across on mobile to see the full table
Who’s had the most attacking potential?
A delve into the underlying data indicates that Haaland is very much the focal point of Man City’s attack once again.
The Norwegian has had six big chances, which are situations where a player is expected to score – that’s at least four more than any team-mate in Man City’s last four matches.
Cherki runs the forward the closest in the analysis thanks to his major all-round threat.
The midfielder has had two big chances of his own and created three more of them, which means he has been involved in five big chances – just one less than Haaland.
Cherki’s 13 shots in the box catch the eye, with that total more than double the five of winger Doku.
O’Reilly again impresses for a Fantasy defender, ranking third for big-chance involvement and shots in the box.
Attacking potential, last four matches
| Player | Big-chance inv. | Big chances | BCC* | Shots in box |
| Haaland | 6 | 6 | 0 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cherki | 5 | 2 | 3 | 13 |
| O’Reilly | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7 |
| Doku | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 |
*Scroll across on mobile to see the full table. BCC = Big chances created
What about their output in Man Cit’s home matches?
A look at their displays over home matches this season highlights the relentless consistency of O’Reilly due to his potential for points at both ends of the pitch.
He’s blanked just twice in 13 starts at the Etihad Stadium and has averaged 7.6 points per start (pps) in home matches this season, more than the 7.2pps of Haaland.
The England star has combined four goals and four assists with seven clean sheets, which means he’s produced 15 returns at the Etihad Stadium.
Haaland, meanwhile, has scored 14 goals and supplied three assists in home matches and has been involved in 47 per cent of their goals at the Etihad.
Cherki‘s 39 per cent involvement isn’t too far off Haaland here but, similarly to the forward, his consistency is some way behind O’Reilly.
Comparison in home matches, 25/26
| O’Reilly | Haaland | Cherki | |
| Pts per start | 7.6 | 7.2 | 5.6 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | 15 | 17 | 7 |
| Blanks/Starts | 2/13 | 5/15 | 4/9 |
| Goal inv. | 24% | 47% | 39% |
Scroll across on mobile to see the full table
So, who’s the best captain?
If you’re defending a strong advantage in your mini-league, Haaland offers an easy solution.
He’ll be the most-selected captain for DGW36 and the underlying numbers show there’s a huge risk in going against him.
Both O’Reilly and Cherki also look well-placed for bumper hauls and the Frenchman certainly has the edge on attacking potential alone.
But as the seasonal numbers show, O’Reilly’s ability to also earn four points for a clean sheet – the same as Haaland gets for scoring a goal – is also a big factor here.
If you really need to go against the Norwegian, then O’Reilly’s all-round output makes him the one to back.
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Paolini overcomes 57 unforced errors to beat Jeanjean in Rome
ROME — For 2 hours and 55 minutes, Jasmine Paolini put her home crowd through the wringer as she struggled through a 6-7 (4), 6-2, 6-4 win over qualifier Leolia Jeanjean to open her Internazionali BNL d’Italia title defense.
The cheers for her 54 winners were polite at the start, as befit the No. 9 seed doing what was expected of her. By the end, the increased volume reflected the crowd’s desperation to will the top Italian player through to the third round. Their cries of “vai, Jasmine!” were punctuated with groans — and heads in hands — as she tallied 57 unforced errors and her form oscillated from one extreme to the other, often in one game.
“I was a little bit nervous,” Paolini said in her press conference. “A lot of up and downs. She played a great match. Was a tough one, but I’m happy I stay there and managed to come back after the tough first set.”
The ups and downs were evident from the start. Paolini broke Jeanjean three times in the first set and served for it at 5-3, and each time the Frenchwoman immediately broke back. Paolini’s strongest winners included finely-angled backhands and superb touch at net, but she was rarely able to convert them into sustained momentum.
The defending champion’s inability to close out the set came back to haunt her in the tiebreak, and Jeanjean seized her opportunity with her most aggressive tennis of the day.
Paolini’s form may have wavered, but her fighting spirit remained solid. The second and third sets featured three extraordinary multi-deuce tussles, and Paolini won them all — to go up 4-1 and then 5-1 in the second set, and then a decisive seven-deuce break of Jeanjean’s serve for 4-3 in the decider.
“I try to repeat myself, ‘Go for the point, go for the shot,'” Paolini recalled of her thought process during those mini marathons. “To try to be aggressive, but at the same time with a bit of patience. Wasn’t easy because in that long game, 3-3, when I had an advantage, she was serving well.”
It’s fair to note that Paolini’s 2026 has not lived up to the heights of her previous two seasons on the WTA Tour Driven by Mercedes-Benz. Her win-loss record this year is a modest 11-9, she has yet to defeat an opponent ranked in the Top 40 and she has taken three losses to players ranked outside the Top 50. But — like her fighting spirit — Paolini’s positivity remains undimmed. She may have been nervous in her Rome opener, but she pointed out that her glorious title run last year also featured its shares of ups and downs (notably a comeback from a set and 3-0 down in her quarterfinal against Diana Shnaider).
“This match was a bit of ups and downs, for sure,” she said. “But I remember last year, I mean, also a lot of ups and downs during the tournament. Of course, the first round went better than this. Was another story, another year. I’m here. I practice well last week. I was feeling great before the tournament. I’m happy that I have another chance to play another match here in Rome.”
Paolini will play 21st seed Elise Mertens in the third round.
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